Padres
Elo 1539 · #8 · 83-69
@
Tue, Sep 15, 7:40 PM CT
Final 3–9
Rockies
Elo 1399 · #30 · 56-96
Walker Buehler vs Kyle Freeland
Padres RL
-1.5-119ProphetX
Rockies RL
+1.5+117NoVig
Over / Under
O 11.5+104NoVig
U 11.5-108NoVig
Padres ML
-178NoVig
Rockies ML
+174NoVig
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.

Matchup factors

Weather
79°F
Cloudy
Wind 6 mph · crosswind
7 PM
6
8 PM
4
9 PM
3
10 PM
1
Padres record
Overall84-69 · .549
Home46-29
Away38-40
Last 109-1
StreakW2
Rockies record
Overall56-97 · .366
Home31-44
Away25-53
Last 101-9
StreakL2

Win probability — Rockies

Market36.5%
Model39.3%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = model_v2 (regressed toward the market on the card).

Model picks

MoneylinePadres -178NoVig-2.1% EV
Totalunder 11.5 -108NoVig · proj 10.06+3.2% EV
Run lineno lean

Starting pitchers

Compare starters →
rating
95
ERA
4.58
FIP
4.45
K-BB%
11.2%
IP
143
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home774.111.277.03.3.245
Away675.131.498.43.5.275
Night914.341.457.13.9.264
vs LHB78—1.558.23.8.281
vs RHB64—1.177.23.0.231
rating
95
ERA
6.38
FIP
4.97
K-BB%
13.2%
IP
128
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home655.821.518.02.5.296
Away636.961.446.51.4.303
Night836.721.486.71.8.303
vs LHB37—1.257.81.2.277
vs RHB91—1.577.12.3.308

Injuries

Padres injuries
Bryan Hoeing · P · Injured 60-Day
Gavin Sheets · 1B · Injured 10-Day
Jason Adam · P · Injured 60-Day
Jeremiah Estrada · P · Injured 15-Day
Joe Musgrove · P · Injured 60-Day
Lucas Giolito · P · Injured 60-Day
Luis Rengifo · LF · Injured 60-Day
Miguel Andujar · DH · Injured 10-Day
Ramón Laureano · LF · Injured 60-Day
Rockies injuries
Chase Dollander · P · Injured 60-Day
Jose Quintana · P · Injured 60-Day
Kris Bryant · DH · Injured 60-Day
McCade Brown · P · Injured 60-Day
Pierson Ohl · P · Injured 60-Day
Welinton Herrera · P · Injured 60-Day
Willi Castro · 2B · Injured 10-Day