Dodgers
Elo 1571 · #2 · 92-60
@
Tue, Sep 15, 5:40 PM CT
Final 4–0
Reds
Elo 1464 · #26 · 71-81
Yoshinobu Yamamoto vs Rhett Lowder
Dodgers RL
-1.5-130ProphetX
Reds RL
+1.5+125ProphetX
Over / Under
O 8.5-104Kalshi
U 8.5+104NoVig
Dodgers ML
-215ProphetX
Reds ML
+213NoVig
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.

Matchup factors

Weather
85°F
Clear
Wind 3 mph · out to CF (+3)
7 PM
3
8 PM
4
9 PM
2
10 PM
3
Dodgers record
Overall93-60 · .608
Home47-28
Away46-32
Last 107-3
StreakW1
Reds record
Overall71-82 · .464
Home37-41
Away34-41
Last 102-8
StreakL1

Win probability — Reds

Market32.1%
Model32.1%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = model_v2 (regressed toward the market on the card).

Model picks

MoneylineDodgers -215ProphetX-0.5% EV
Totalover 8.5 -104Kalshi · proj 10.23+5.6% EV
Run lineno lean

Starting pitchers

Compare starters →
rating
121
ERA
2.51
FIP
3.28
K-BB%
20.1%
IP
179
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home983.130.909.42.1.188
Away811.770.828.42.0.171
Night1492.770.919.12.3.185
vs LHB98—0.838.82.1.171
vs RHB80—0.939.32.0.192
rating
88
ERA
5.79
FIP
4.74
K-BB%
8.3%
IP
124
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home634.161.317.23.2.246
Away627.441.747.04.2.302
Night875.091.406.73.0.267
vs LHB75—1.647.75.0.268
vs RHB49—1.346.21.6.285

Injuries

Dodgers injuries
Andy Pages · CF · Injured 10-Day
Ben Casparius · P · Injured 60-Day
Brusdar Graterol · P · Injured 60-Day
Dalton Rushing · C · Injured 10-Day
Edgardo Henriquez · P · Injured 15-Day
Edwin Díaz · P · Injured 15-Day
Eric Lauer · P · Injured 60-Day
Gavin Stone · P · Injured 60-Day
Jake Cousins · P · Injured 60-Day
Roki Sasaki · P · Injured 15-Day
Shohei Ohtani · TWP · Injured 15-Day
Will Klein · P · Injured 60-Day
Reds injuries
Blake Dunn · CF · Injured 60-Day
Hunter Greene · P · Injured 60-Day
Michael Toglia · 1B · Injured 60-Day
Spencer Steer · 1B · Injured 10-Day