Yankees
Elo 1566 · #3 · 88-64
@
Tue, Sep 15, 6:40 PM CT
Final 8–1
Twins
Elo 1463 · #27 · 71-81
Max Fried vs Bailey Ober
Yankees RL
-1.5+104Kalshi
Twins RL
+1.5-106NoVig
Over / Under
O 7.5-117Kalshi
U 7.5+113Kalshi
Yankees ML
-168ProphetX
Twins ML
+163Kalshi
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.

Matchup factors

Weather
67°F
Clear
Wind 6 mph · crosswind
7 PM
6
8 PM
1
9 PM
2
10 PM
2
Yankees record
Overall88-64 · .579
Home42-32
Away46-32
Last 107-3
StreakL1
Twins record
Overall71-82 · .464
Home40-38
Away31-44
Last 103-7
StreakL1

Win probability — Twins

Market38.1%
Model39.5%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = model_v2 (regressed toward the market on the card).

Model picks

MoneylineYankees -168ProphetX-1.9% EV
Totalno lean
Run lineno lean

Starting pitchers

Compare starters →
Yankees
rating
118
ERA
2.63
FIP
2.69
K-BB%
17.0%
IP
106
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home413.101.089.33.8.189
Away652.340.928.01.9.204
Night811.790.849.02.1.178
vs LHB26—0.877.22.7.172
vs RHB79—1.039.02.6.206
rating
91
ERA
4.32
FIP
4.66
K-BB%
9.9%
IP
123
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home743.301.147.02.6.223
Away495.841.505.72.7.292
Night674.301.286.32.1.261
vs LHB71—1.225.02.6.241
vs RHB52—1.378.42.6.265

Injuries

Yankees injuries
Fernando Cruz · P · Injured 15-Day
Giancarlo Stanton · DH · Injured 60-Day
Jazz Chisholm Jr. · 2B · Injured 10-Day
Kervin Castro · P · Injured 60-Day
Ryan Weathers · P · Injured 15-Day
Trent Grisham · CF · Injured 10-Day
Twins injuries
Anthony Banda · P · Injured 60-Day
Byron Buxton · CF · Injured 10-Day
Cole Sands · P · Injured 60-Day
David Festa · P · Injured 60-Day
Kaelen Culpepper · SS · Injured 10-Day
Mick Abel · P · Injured 60-Day
Mike Paredes · P · Injured 60-Day
Pablo López · P · Injured 60-Day