Brewers
Elo 1594 · #1 · 95-57
@
Tue, Sep 15, 5:41 PM CT
Final 5–1
Pirates
Elo 1504 · #15 · 75-77
Jacob Misiorowski vs Lake Bachar
Brewers RL
-1.5-117Kalshi
Pirates RL
+1.5+113Kalshi
Over / Under
O 7.5+100Kalshi
U 7.5-104Kalshi
Brewers ML
-200ProphetX
Pirates ML
+203Kalshi
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.

Matchup factors

Weather
78°F
Showers
Wind 4 mph · out to CF (+4)
7 PM
4
8 PM
4
9 PM
1
10 PM
3
Brewers record
Overall95-58 · .621
Home52-26
Away43-32
Last 107-3
StreakL1
Pirates record
Overall76-77 · .497
Home39-36
Away37-41
Last 106-4
StreakW1

Win probability — Pirates

Market33.5%
Model39.4%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = model_v2 (regressed toward the market on the card).

Model picks

MoneylineBrewers -200ProphetX-2.9% EV
Totalno lean
Run lineno lean

Starting pitchers

Compare starters →
rating
151
ERA
1.89
FIP
2.13
K-BB%
31.6%
IP
166
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home901.610.7714.11.9.160
Away772.230.8612.12.7.159
Night941.810.8712.62.7.164
vs LHB95—0.6415.02.2.119
vs RHB72—1.0310.72.4.209
rating
101
ERA
3.54
FIP
4.51
K-BB%
14.6%
IP
81
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home382.150.989.83.4.177
Away444.741.268.94.3.210
Night482.060.969.43.2.172
vs LHB43—1.419.95.1.221
vs RHB38—0.838.72.6.163

Injuries

Brewers injuries
Angel Zerpa · P · Injured 60-Day
Brandon Woodruff · P · Injured 60-Day
Brian Fitzpatrick · P · Injured 60-Day
Bryse Wilson · P · Injured 15-Day
Grant Anderson · P · Injured 15-Day
Quinn Priester · P · Injured 60-Day
Rob Zastryzny · P · Injured 60-Day
Pirates injuries
Braxton Ashcraft · P · Injured 15-Day
Endy Rodríguez · C · Injured 60-Day
Esmerlyn Valdez · RF · Injured 10-Day
Isaac Mattson · P · Injured 15-Day
Kirby Yates · P · Injured 15-Day
Mitch Keller · P · Injured 60-Day