Davis Martin vs Foster Griffin
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.
Matchup factors
Weather
72°F
Cloudy
Wind 3 mph · crosswind
7 PM
3
8 PM
3
9 PM
3
10 PM
3
Overall78-75 · .510
Home44-31
Away34-44
Last 103-7
StreakW1
Overall78-75 · .510
Home38-40
Away40-35
Last 106-4
StreakW2
Win probability — Guardians
Market57.5%
Model53.6%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = model_v2 (regressed toward the market on the card).
Model picks
MoneylineGuardians -138Kalshi-2.8% EV
Totalunder 8.5 +104Kalshi · proj 7.7+4.0% EV
Run lineno lean
Starting pitchers
Compare starters →ERA
3.96
FIP
3.78
K-BB%
12.2%
IP
141
| Split | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | BB/9 | OBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 64 | 3.09 | 1.13 | 8.3 | 2.3 | .232 |
| Away | 77 | 4.68 | 1.44 | 6.5 | 3.2 | .285 |
| Night | 97 | 4.93 | 1.41 | 6.7 | 2.6 | .285 |
| vs LHB | 82 | — | 1.38 | 7.0 | 3.5 | .260 |
| vs RHB | 58 | — | 1.20 | 7.9 | 1.7 | .263 |
ERA
3.67
FIP
4.00
K-BB%
15.3%
IP
167
| Split | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | BB/9 | OBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 84 | 3.43 | 1.23 | 7.9 | 2.5 | .251 |
| Away | 83 | 3.92 | 1.16 | 8.4 | 2.4 | .236 |
| Night | 94 | 3.53 | 1.12 | 8.2 | 2.0 | .235 |
| vs LHB | 46 | — | 0.95 | 10.5 | 1.9 | .198 |
| vs RHB | 120 | — | 1.30 | 7.3 | 2.6 | .260 |
Injuries
Brooks Baldwin · LF · Injured 60-Day
Huascar Brazobán · P · Injured 15-Day
Joey Bart · C · Injured 10-Day
Jordan Leasure · P · Injured 60-Day
Ky Bush · P · Injured 60-Day
Mike Vasil · P · Injured 60-Day
Prelander Berroa · P · Injured 60-Day
Tanner Murray · LF · Injured 60-Day
Colin Holderman · P · Injured 15-Day
Rhys Hoskins · 1B · Injured 10-Day
Shawn Armstrong · P · Injured 60-Day