Mariners
Elo 1485 · #22 · 71-82
@
Tue, Sep 15, 8:38 PM CT
Final 1–2
Angels
Elo 1444 · #28 · 58-94
Logan Gilbert vs Ryan Johnson
Mariners RL
-1.5+108Kalshi
Angels RL
+1.5-111NoVig
Over / Under
O 8.5+111NoVig
U 8.5-113Kalshi
Mariners ML
-158ProphetX
Angels ML
+156Kalshi
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.

Matchup factors

Weather
80°F
Clear
Wind 10 mph · out to CF (+10)
7 PM
10
8 PM
9
9 PM
7
10 PM
5
Mariners record
Overall71-82 · .464
Home40-35
Away31-47
Last 105-5
StreakW1
Angels record
Overall59-94 · .386
Home33-45
Away26-49
Last 105-5
StreakW1

Win probability — Angels

Market38.9%
Model44.8%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = model_v2 (regressed toward the market on the card).

Model picks

MoneylineMariners -158ProphetX-3.1% EV
Totalno lean
Run lineno lean

Starting pitchers

Compare starters →
rating
117
ERA
3.69
FIP
3.84
K-BB%
20.8%
IP
178
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home1024.411.0410.62.4.216
Away762.721.098.82.3.224
Night914.141.1910.12.7.236
vs LHB98—1.0711.22.6.212
vs RHB78—1.078.32.1.229
rating
82
ERA
4.88
FIP
5.54
K-BB%
8.0%
IP
90
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home454.201.318.64.0.227
Away455.561.375.43.8.256
Night654.291.267.33.3.234
vs LHB53—1.467.54.6.244
vs RHB37—1.186.32.9.237

Injuries

Mariners injuries
Brendan Donovan · 3B · Injured 7-Day
Brennen Davis · CF · Injured 60-Day
Cole Wilcox · P · Injured 15-Day
Colt Emerson · SS · Injured 60-Day
Emerson Hancock · P · Injured 15-Day
Logan Evans · P · Injured 60-Day
Luke Raley · RF · Injured 60-Day
Matt Brash · P · Injured 60-Day
Nick Davila · P · Injured 60-Day
Will Wilson · 3B · Injured 60-Day
Angels injuries
Anthony Rendon · 3B · Injured 60-Day
George Klassen · P · Injured 15-Day
Gustavo Campero · OF · Injured 10-Day
Jack Kochanowicz · P · Injured 60-Day
Nolan Schanuel · 1B · Injured 10-Day
Robert Stephenson · P · Injured 60-Day
Samy Natera Jr. · P · Injured 15-Day
Yoán Moncada · 3B · Injured 60-Day