Tigers
Elo 1518 · #10 · 71-80
@
Fri, Sep 4, 1:11 PM CT
Final 6–7
Guardians
Elo 1506 · #13 · 78-75
Andrew Sears vs Foster Griffin
Tigers RL
+0.5+117NoVig
Guardians RL
-0.5-125NoVig
Over / Under
O 8.5+111ProphetX
U 8.5-111NoVig
Tigers ML
+121ProphetX
Guardians ML
-122NoVig
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.

Matchup factors

Weather
72°F
Cloudy
Wind 3 mph · crosswind
7 PM
3
8 PM
3
9 PM
3
10 PM
3
Tigers record
Overall72-81 · .471
Home39-36
Away33-45
Last 107-3
StreakL2
Guardians record
Overall78-75 · .510
Home38-40
Away40-35
Last 106-4
StreakW2

Win probability — Guardians

Market55.1%
Model58.1%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = model_v2 (regressed toward the market on the card).

Model picks

MoneylineGuardians -122NoVig+1.9% EV
Totalunder 8.5 -111NoVig · proj 7.43+2.6% EV
Run lineno lean

Starting pitchers

Andrew Sears
Tigers
No rating yet (under 20 IP or not announced).
rating
106
ERA
3.67
FIP
4.00
K-BB%
15.3%
IP
167
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home843.431.237.92.5.251
Away833.921.168.42.4.236
Night943.531.128.22.0.235
vs LHB46—0.9510.51.9.198
vs RHB120—1.307.32.6.260

Injuries

Tigers injuries
Bailey Horn · P · Injured 60-Day
Burch Smith · P · Injured 60-Day
Jack Flaherty · P · Injured 15-Day
Justin Verlander · P · Injured 60-Day
Kerry Carpenter · RF · Injured 10-Day
Matt Vierling · CF · Injured 60-Day
Parker Meadows · CF · Injured 60-Day
Reese Olson · P · Injured 60-Day
Trey Sweeney · SS · Injured 60-Day
Wenceel Pérez · RF · Injured 60-Day
Will Vest · P · Injured 60-Day
Guardians injuries
Colin Holderman · P · Injured 15-Day
Rhys Hoskins · 1B · Injured 10-Day
Shawn Armstrong · P · Injured 60-Day