Red Sox
Elo 1550 · #5 · 82-70
@
Fri, Sep 4, 6:06 PM CT
Final 1–0
Orioles
Elo 1505 · #14 · 75-77
Ranger Suarez vs Shane Baz
Red Sox RL
-1.5+144Kalshi
Orioles RL
+1.5-150Kalshi
Over / Under
O 8.5+108NoVig
U 8.5-108Kalshi
Red Sox ML
-108Kalshi
Orioles ML
+108Kalshi
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.

Matchup factors

Weather
79°F
Partly cloudy
Wind 3 mph · out to CF (+3)
7 PM
3
8 PM
4
9 PM
4
10 PM
3
Red Sox record
Overall83-70 · .542
Home38-37
Away45-33
Last 105-5
StreakW1
Orioles record
Overall75-78 · .490
Home36-39
Away39-39
Last 106-4
StreakW3

Win probability — Orioles

Market47.8%
Model50.1%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = model_v2 (regressed toward the market on the card).

Model picks

MoneylineOrioles +108Kalshi+0.8% EV
Totalno lean
Run lineno lean

Starting pitchers

Compare starters →
rating
114
ERA
3.33
FIP
3.04
K-BB%
15.8%
IP
138
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home613.821.148.82.5.230
Away762.951.238.32.7.247
Night913.161.107.63.0.211
vs LHB38—1.329.52.4.267
vs RHB99—1.158.22.7.229
Orioles
rating
103
ERA
4.11
FIP
3.61
K-BB%
12.4%
IP
173
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home853.921.388.23.0.270
Away884.301.337.73.3.257
Night1213.941.317.73.1.253
vs LHB100—1.518.53.8.281
vs RHB73—1.137.12.2.238

Injuries

Red Sox injuries
Anthony Seigler · 2B · Injured 10-Day
Ceddanne Rafaela · CF · Injured 10-Day
Curtis Mead · 3B · Injured 10-Day
Eduardo Rivera · P · Injured 60-Day
Eli White · CF · Injured 10-Day
Garrett Crochet · P · Injured 60-Day
Johan Oviedo · P · Injured 60-Day
Justin Slaten · P · Injured 15-Day
Kutter Crawford · P · Injured 60-Day
Masataka Yoshida · DH · Injured 10-Day
Tanner Houck · P · Injured 60-Day
Triston Casas · 1B · Injured 60-Day
Tyron Guerrero · P · Injured 15-Day
Zack Kelly · P · Injured 60-Day
Orioles injuries
Blaze Alexander · 3B · Injured 10-Day
Christian Franklin · CF · Injured 10-Day
Colin Selby · P · Injured 60-Day
Félix Bautista · P · Injured 60-Day
Jackson Holliday · 2B · Injured 10-Day
Jordan Westburg · 3B · Injured 60-Day
Keegan Akin · P · Injured 60-Day
Kyle Bradish · P · Injured 15-Day
Luis Robert Jr. · CF · Injured 10-Day
Ryan Helsley · P · Injured 60-Day
Ryan Mountcastle · 1B · Injured 60-Day
Tyler O'Neill · RF · Injured 10-Day
Zach Eflin · P · Injured 60-Day