Angels
Elo 1444 · #28 · 58-94
@
Fri, Sep 4, 5:46 PM CT
Final 0–1
Pirates
Elo 1504 · #15 · 75-77
Ryan Johnson vs Jared Jones
Angels RL
+1.5-120NoVig
Pirates RL
-1.5+117Kalshi
Over / Under
O 8.5+104Kalshi
U 8.5-106NoVig
Angels ML
+174NoVig
Pirates ML
-174ProphetX
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.

Matchup factors

Weather
78°F
Showers
Wind 4 mph · out to CF (+4)
7 PM
4
8 PM
4
9 PM
1
10 PM
3
Angels record
Overall59-94 · .386
Home33-45
Away26-49
Last 105-5
StreakW1
Pirates record
Overall76-77 · .497
Home39-36
Away37-41
Last 106-4
StreakW1

Win probability — Pirates

Market63.4%
Model65.8%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = model_v2 (regressed toward the market on the card).

Model picks

MoneylinePirates -174ProphetX+0.9% EV
Totalno lean
Run lineno lean

Starting pitchers

Compare starters →
rating
82
ERA
4.88
FIP
5.54
K-BB%
8.0%
IP
90
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home454.201.318.64.0.227
Away455.561.375.43.8.256
Night654.291.267.33.3.234
vs LHB53—1.467.54.6.244
vs RHB37—1.186.32.9.237
rating
118
ERA
4.17
FIP
3.55
K-BB%
20.5%
IP
91
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home504.681.0810.82.5.215
Away413.541.3310.83.8.234
Night613.391.1310.92.2.232
vs LHB53—1.2211.33.7.216
vs RHB37—1.1610.22.2.234

Injuries

Angels injuries
Anthony Rendon · 3B · Injured 60-Day
George Klassen · P · Injured 15-Day
Gustavo Campero · OF · Injured 10-Day
Jack Kochanowicz · P · Injured 60-Day
Nolan Schanuel · 1B · Injured 10-Day
Robert Stephenson · P · Injured 60-Day
Samy Natera Jr. · P · Injured 15-Day
Yoán Moncada · 3B · Injured 60-Day
Pirates injuries
Braxton Ashcraft · P · Injured 15-Day
Endy Rodríguez · C · Injured 60-Day
Esmerlyn Valdez · RF · Injured 10-Day
Isaac Mattson · P · Injured 15-Day
Kirby Yates · P · Injured 15-Day
Mitch Keller · P · Injured 60-Day