Rays
Elo 1547 · #6 · 92-59
@
Fri, Sep 4, 7:06 PM CT
Final 7–6
Rangers
Elo 1494 · #20 · 76-76
Nick Martinez vs Trevor Williams
Rays RL
-1.5+163Kalshi
Rangers RL
+1.5-170Kalshi
Over / Under
O 8.5+108Kalshi
U 8.5-106NoVig
Rays ML
+104ProphetX
Rangers ML
-104Kalshi
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.

Matchup factors

Weather
97°F
Clear
Wind 10 mph · crosswind
7 PM
10
8 PM
9
9 PM
6
10 PM
5
Rays record
Overall93-59 · .612
Home53-25
Away40-34
Last 108-2
StreakW6
Rangers record
Overall76-77 · .497
Home42-33
Away34-44
Last 106-4
StreakL1

Win probability — Rangers

Market51.0%
Model49.6%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = model_v2 (regressed toward the market on the card).

Model picks

MoneylineRays +104ProphetX+0.9% EV
Totalover 8.5 +108Kalshi · proj 9.26+4.3% EV
Run lineno lean

Starting pitchers

rating
98
ERA
2.94
FIP
4.04
K-BB%
11.3%
IP
171
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home853.901.205.71.4.267
Away861.990.944.91.1.221
Night1123.301.165.11.4.259
vs LHB101—1.025.71.4.229
vs RHB69—1.154.81.0.267
Trevor Williams
Rangers
No rating yet (under 20 IP or not announced).

Injuries

Rays injuries
Ben Williamson · 2B · Injured 10-Day
Edwin Uceta · P · Injured 60-Day
Garrett Cleavinger · P · Injured 15-Day
Gavin Lux · LF · Injured 60-Day
Jonathan Heasley · P · Injured 60-Day
Manuel Rodríguez · P · Injured 15-Day
Ryan Pepiot · P · Injured 60-Day
Shane McClanahan · P · Injured 15-Day
Tyler Wells · P · Injured 15-Day
Rangers injuries
Carter Baumler · P · Injured 60-Day
Cole Winn · P · Injured 15-Day
Jack Leiter · P · Injured 60-Day
Jalen Beeks · P · Injured 60-Day
Jose Corniell · P · Injured 60-Day
Kyle Higashioka · C · Injured 10-Day
Michael Helman · CF · Injured 60-Day
Peyton Gray · P · Injured 15-Day