Blue Jays
Elo 1514 · #11 · 76-77
@
Fri, Sep 4, 7:10 PM CT
Final 9–2
Royals
Elo 1480 · #23 · 67-85
Jameson Taillon vs Daniel Lynch IV
Blue Jays RL
-1.5+163Kalshi
Royals RL
+1.5-170Kalshi
Over / Under
O 9.5-108Kalshi
U 9.5+111NoVig
Blue Jays ML
+108Kalshi
Royals ML
-108Kalshi
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.

Matchup factors

Weather
92°F
Clear
Wind 4 mph · crosswind
7 PM
4
8 PM
2
9 PM
3
10 PM
5
Blue Jays record
Overall76-77 · .497
Home40-38
Away36-39
Last 104-6
StreakW1
Royals record
Overall67-86 · .438
Home39-36
Away28-50
Last 104-6
StreakL1

Win probability — Royals

Market51.8%
Model55.5%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = model_v2 (regressed toward the market on the card).

Model picks

MoneylineRoyals -108Kalshi+1.9% EV
Totalno lean
Run lineno lean

Starting pitchers

Compare starters →
rating
82
ERA
5.65
FIP
6.63
K-BB%
11.9%
IP
86
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home434.221.389.34.0.242
Away437.061.346.72.7.263
Night435.441.377.54.0.240
vs LHB43—1.537.55.0.249
vs RHB43—1.208.41.7.257
rating
97
ERA
3.29
FIP
3.77
K-BB%
9.3%
IP
77
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home453.221.055.23.0.198
Away323.381.097.32.3.221
Night494.041.225.93.5.222
vs LHB30—0.706.61.2.160
vs RHB47—1.315.83.7.236

Injuries

Blue Jays injuries
Addison Barger · RF · Injured 60-Day
Anthony Santander · RF · Injured 60-Day
Bowden Francis · P · Injured 60-Day
Cody Ponce · P · Injured 60-Day
Jake Bloss · P · Injured 60-Day
Jameson Taillon · P · Injured 15-Day
Jonatan Clase · LF · Injured 60-Day
José Berríos · P · Injured 60-Day
Luis Urías · 2B · Injured 10-Day
Patrick Corbin · P · Injured 60-Day
Rudy Martin Jr. · RF · Injured 10-Day
Shane Bieber · P · Injured 15-Day
Trey Yesavage · P · Injured 15-Day
Yimi García · P · Injured 60-Day
Royals injuries
Alec Marsh · P · Injured 60-Day
Beck Way · P · Injured 15-Day
Carlos Estévez · P · Injured 60-Day
Cole Ragans · P · Injured 60-Day
Connor Seabold · P · Injured 60-Day
James McArthur · P · Injured 60-Day
Jonathan India · 2B · Injured 60-Day
Luinder Avila · P · Injured 60-Day
Nick Mears · P · Injured 60-Day
Stephen Kolek · P · Injured 60-Day
Tony Gonsolin · P · Injured 15-Day