Brewers
Elo 1594 · #1 · 95-57
@
Fri, Sep 4, 5:11 PM CT
Final 10–7
Reds
Elo 1464 · #26 · 71-81
Shane Drohan vs Rhett Lowder
Brewers RL
-1.5+108NoVig
Reds RL
+1.5-108Kalshi
Over / Under
O 9.5-104Kalshi
U 9.5+100Kalshi
Brewers ML
-144NoVig
Reds ML
+144Kalshi
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.

Matchup factors

Weather
85°F
Clear
Wind 3 mph · out to CF (+3)
7 PM
3
8 PM
4
9 PM
2
10 PM
3
Brewers record
Overall95-58 · .621
Home52-26
Away43-32
Last 107-3
StreakL1
Reds record
Overall71-82 · .464
Home37-41
Away34-41
Last 102-8
StreakL1

Win probability — Reds

Market40.8%
Model38.7%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = model_v2 (regressed toward the market on the card).

Model picks

MoneylineBrewers -144NoVig+1.3% EV
Totalover 9.5 -104Kalshi · proj 10.35+1.5% EV
Run lineno lean

Starting pitchers

Compare starters →
rating
108
ERA
4.32
FIP
3.77
K-BB%
15.5%
IP
119
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home714.421.399.73.0.271
Away474.181.278.03.2.244
Night774.191.469.23.5.275
vs LHB39—1.098.61.4.248
vs RHB79—1.489.34.0.266
rating
88
ERA
5.79
FIP
4.74
K-BB%
8.3%
IP
124
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home634.161.317.23.2.246
Away627.441.747.04.2.302
Night875.091.406.73.0.267
vs LHB75—1.647.75.0.268
vs RHB49—1.346.21.6.285

Injuries

Brewers injuries
Angel Zerpa · P · Injured 60-Day
Brandon Woodruff · P · Injured 60-Day
Brian Fitzpatrick · P · Injured 60-Day
Bryse Wilson · P · Injured 15-Day
Grant Anderson · P · Injured 15-Day
Quinn Priester · P · Injured 60-Day
Rob Zastryzny · P · Injured 60-Day
Reds injuries
Blake Dunn · CF · Injured 60-Day
Hunter Greene · P · Injured 60-Day
Michael Toglia · 1B · Injured 60-Day
Spencer Steer · 1B · Injured 10-Day