Nationals
Elo 1472 · #25 · 71-82
@
Fri, Sep 4, 9:11 PM CT
Final 3–5
Dodgers
Elo 1571 · #2 · 92-60
Jackson Kent vs Blake Snell
Nationals RL
+1.5+125ProphetX
Dodgers RL
-1.5-127Kalshi
Over / Under
O 8.5+106NoVig
U 8.5-108Kalshi
Nationals ML
+285Kalshi
Dodgers ML
-285NoVig
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.

Matchup factors

Weather
76°F
Clear
Wind 10 mph · out to CF (+10)
7 PM
10
8 PM
9
9 PM
8
10 PM
5
Nationals record
Overall71-82 · .464
Home37-41
Away34-41
Last 104-6
StreakL1
Dodgers record
Overall93-60 · .608
Home47-28
Away46-32
Last 107-3
StreakW1

Win probability — Dodgers

Market73.7%
Model64.7%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = model_v2 (regressed toward the market on the card).

Model picks

MoneylineDodgers -285NoVig-4.1% EV
Totalno lean
Run lineno lean

Starting pitchers

Compare starters →
Nationals
rating
86
ERA
6.41
FIP
4.47
K-BB%
2.6%
IP
32
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home163.941.387.36.8.179
Away168.822.147.76.1.333
Night255.471.667.36.9.232
vs LHB8—1.568.64.3.257
vs RHB24—1.837.17.1.269
rating
126
ERA
1.86
FIP
1.76
K-BB%
22.9%
IP
39
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home212.141.1412.03.4.208
Away181.531.0212.24.1.164
Night282.281.1211.73.3.210
vs LHB11—1.5015.26.8.205
vs RHB27—0.9511.22.6.182

Injuries

Nationals injuries
Connelly Early · P · Injured 60-Day
DJ Herz · P · Injured 60-Day
Drew Millas · C · Injured 60-Day
Josiah Gray · P · Injured 60-Day
Ken Waldichuk · P · Injured 60-Day
Matt Waldron · P · Injured 60-Day
Mitchell Parker · P · Injured 60-Day
Orlando Ribalta · P · Injured 15-Day
PJ Poulin · P · Injured 60-Day
Dodgers injuries
Andy Pages · CF · Injured 10-Day
Ben Casparius · P · Injured 60-Day
Brusdar Graterol · P · Injured 60-Day
Dalton Rushing · C · Injured 10-Day
Edgardo Henriquez · P · Injured 15-Day
Edwin Díaz · P · Injured 15-Day
Eric Lauer · P · Injured 60-Day
Gavin Stone · P · Injured 60-Day
Jake Cousins · P · Injured 60-Day
Roki Sasaki · P · Injured 15-Day
Shohei Ohtani · TWP · Injured 15-Day
Will Klein · P · Injured 60-Day