Yankees
Elo 1566 · #3 · 88-64
@
Fri, Sep 4, 8:41 PM CT
Final 2–3
Padres
Elo 1539 · #8 · 83-69
Max Fried vs Walker Buehler
Yankees RL
-1.5+150Kalshi
Padres RL
+1.5-156Kalshi
Over / Under
O 7.5+108Kalshi
U 7.5-113Kalshi
Yankees ML
-107ProphetX
Padres ML
+108Kalshi
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.

Matchup factors

Weather
74°F
Partly cloudy
Wind 9 mph · crosswind
7 PM
9
8 PM
8
9 PM
6
10 PM
5
Yankees record
Overall88-64 · .579
Home42-32
Away46-32
Last 107-3
StreakL1
Padres record
Overall84-69 · .549
Home46-29
Away38-40
Last 109-1
StreakW2

Win probability — Padres

Market47.3%
Model42.2%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = model_v2 (regressed toward the market on the card).

Model picks

MoneylineYankees -107ProphetX+4.9% EV
Totalno lean
Run lineno lean

Starting pitchers

Compare starters →
Yankees
rating
118
ERA
2.63
FIP
2.69
K-BB%
17.0%
IP
106
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home413.101.089.33.8.189
Away652.340.928.01.9.204
Night811.790.849.02.1.178
vs LHB26—0.877.22.7.172
vs RHB79—1.039.02.6.206
rating
95
ERA
4.58
FIP
4.45
K-BB%
11.2%
IP
143
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home774.111.277.03.3.245
Away675.131.498.43.5.275
Night914.341.457.13.9.264
vs LHB78—1.558.23.8.281
vs RHB64—1.177.23.0.231

Injuries

Yankees injuries
Fernando Cruz · P · Injured 15-Day
Giancarlo Stanton · DH · Injured 60-Day
Jazz Chisholm Jr. · 2B · Injured 10-Day
Kervin Castro · P · Injured 60-Day
Ryan Weathers · P · Injured 15-Day
Trent Grisham · CF · Injured 10-Day
Padres injuries
Bryan Hoeing · P · Injured 60-Day
Gavin Sheets · 1B · Injured 10-Day
Jason Adam · P · Injured 60-Day
Jeremiah Estrada · P · Injured 15-Day
Joe Musgrove · P · Injured 60-Day
Lucas Giolito · P · Injured 60-Day
Luis Rengifo · LF · Injured 60-Day
Miguel Andujar · DH · Injured 10-Day
Ramón Laureano · LF · Injured 60-Day