Braves
Elo 1537 · #9 · 89-65
@
Fri, Sep 4, 5:41 PM CT
Final 5–2
Phillies
Elo 1543 · #7 · 83-68
Chris Sale vs Cristopher Sánchez
Braves RL
-1.5+186Kalshi
Phillies RL
+1.5-194Kalshi
Over / Under
O 6.5-113Kalshi
U 6.5+113NoVig
Braves ML
+105ProphetX
Phillies ML
-107ProphetX
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.

Matchup factors

Weather
79°F
Clear
Wind 3 mph · out to CF (+3)
7 PM
3
8 PM
5
9 PM
5
10 PM
3
Braves record
Overall89-64 · .582
Home51-27
Away38-37
Last 104-6
StreakL1
Phillies record
Overall85-68 · .556
Home41-34
Away44-34
Last 105-5
StreakW2

Win probability — Phillies

Market51.3%
Model48.0%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = model_v2 (regressed toward the market on the card).

Model picks

MoneylineBraves +105ProphetX+1.8% EV
Totalno lean
Run lineno lean

Starting pitchers

Compare starters →
rating
139
ERA
2.18
FIP
2.12
K-BB%
25.4%
IP
157
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home811.660.9310.11.8.202
Away762.741.0611.81.8.230
Night1102.120.9710.41.7.211
vs LHB40—1.0112.01.1.230
vs RHB117—0.9910.52.0.211
rating
127
ERA
2.93
FIP
2.81
K-BB%
21.2%
IP
194
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home1142.211.149.92.3.233
Away803.951.3410.21.7.292
Night1322.531.1810.12.3.246
vs LHB50—0.6411.40.5.165
vs RHB141—1.469.72.6.286

Injuries

Braves injuries
Bryce Elder · P · Injured 15-Day
Joe Jiménez · P · Injured 60-Day
Joey Wentz · P · Injured 60-Day
Lane Thomas · LF · Injured 10-Day
Reynaldo López · P · Injured 15-Day
Robert Suarez · P · Injured 60-Day
Spencer Schwellenbach · P · Injured 60-Day
Spencer Strider · P · Injured 60-Day
Phillies injuries
Adolis García · RF · Injured 60-Day
Brad Keller · P · Injured 60-Day
Caleb Kilian · P · Injured 15-Day
Felix Reyes · LF · Injured 60-Day
Jesús Luzardo · P · Injured 15-Day
Johan Rojas · CF · Injured 60-Day