Reds
Elo 1464 · #26 · 71-81
@
Sat, Sep 12, 6:11 PM CT
Final 9–13
Brewers
Elo 1594 · #1 · 95-57
Brady Singer vs Shane Drohan
Reds RL
+1.5-117Kalshi
Brewers RL
-1.5+115NoVig
Over / Under
O 8.5-104Kalshi
U 8.5+102NoVig
Reds ML
+170Kalshi
Brewers ML
-178Kalshi
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.

Matchup factors

Weather
64°F
Cloudy
Wind 4 mph · in from CF (−4)
7 PM
4
8 PM
2
9 PM
4
10 PM
4
Reds record
Overall71-82 · .464
Home37-41
Away34-41
Last 102-8
StreakL1
Brewers record
Overall95-58 · .621
Home52-26
Away43-32
Last 107-3
StreakL1

Win probability — Brewers

Market62.9%
Model68.6%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = model_v2 (regressed toward the market on the card).

Model picks

MoneylineBrewers -178Kalshi+1.0% EV
Totalno lean
Run lineno lean

Starting pitchers

Compare starters →
rating
87
ERA
5.37
FIP
5.25
K-BB%
10.1%
IP
151
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home804.501.436.83.8.260
Away716.371.618.32.8.307
Night984.981.537.53.5.282
vs LHB94—1.628.73.1.304
vs RHB55—1.375.73.9.244
rating
108
ERA
4.32
FIP
3.77
K-BB%
15.5%
IP
119
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home714.421.399.73.0.271
Away474.181.278.03.2.244
Night774.191.469.23.5.275
vs LHB39—1.098.61.4.248
vs RHB79—1.489.34.0.266

Injuries

Reds injuries
Blake Dunn · CF · Injured 60-Day
Hunter Greene · P · Injured 60-Day
Michael Toglia · 1B · Injured 60-Day
Spencer Steer · 1B · Injured 10-Day
Brewers injuries
Angel Zerpa · P · Injured 60-Day
Brandon Woodruff · P · Injured 60-Day
Brian Fitzpatrick · P · Injured 60-Day
Bryse Wilson · P · Injured 15-Day
Grant Anderson · P · Injured 15-Day
Quinn Priester · P · Injured 60-Day
Rob Zastryzny · P · Injured 60-Day