Orioles
Elo 1505 · #14 · 75-77
@
Sat, Sep 12, 2:08 PM CT
Final 3–7
Blue Jays
Elo 1514 · #11 · 76-77
Kyle Bradish vs Spencer Miles
Orioles RL
+1.5—
Blue Jays RL
-1.5—
Over / Under
O 8.5+108Kalshi
U 8.5-106NoVig
Orioles ML
+117NoVig
Blue Jays ML
-117Kalshi
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.

Matchup factors

Weather
71°F
Cloudy
Wind 2 mph · in from CF (−2)
7 PM
2
8 PM
5
9 PM
7
10 PM
6
Orioles record
Overall75-78 · .490
Home36-39
Away39-39
Last 106-4
StreakW3
Blue Jays record
Overall76-77 · .497
Home40-38
Away36-39
Last 104-6
StreakW1

Win probability — Blue Jays

Market53.7%
Model57.9%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = model_v2 (regressed toward the market on the card).

Model picks

MoneylineBlue Jays -117Kalshi+1.9% EV
Totalno lean
Run lineno lean

Starting pitchers

Compare starters →
rating
94
ERA
4.12
FIP
4.40
K-BB%
10.8%
IP
155
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home693.261.237.64.6.199
Away864.811.648.83.7.312
Night823.751.419.03.0.279
vs LHB93—1.518.34.3.265
vs RHB60—1.438.43.9.262
Blue Jays
rating
117
ERA
2.65
FIP
2.80
K-BB%
17.0%
IP
92
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home552.451.009.52.1.206
Away372.951.237.12.7.245
Night463.501.147.81.4.254
vs LHB49—1.188.62.0.247
vs RHB42—1.018.62.8.190

Injuries

Orioles injuries
Blaze Alexander · 3B · Injured 10-Day
Christian Franklin · CF · Injured 10-Day
Colin Selby · P · Injured 60-Day
Félix Bautista · P · Injured 60-Day
Jackson Holliday · 2B · Injured 10-Day
Jordan Westburg · 3B · Injured 60-Day
Keegan Akin · P · Injured 60-Day
Kyle Bradish · P · Injured 15-Day
Luis Robert Jr. · CF · Injured 10-Day
Ryan Helsley · P · Injured 60-Day
Ryan Mountcastle · 1B · Injured 60-Day
Tyler O'Neill · RF · Injured 10-Day
Zach Eflin · P · Injured 60-Day
Blue Jays injuries
Addison Barger · RF · Injured 60-Day
Anthony Santander · RF · Injured 60-Day
Bowden Francis · P · Injured 60-Day
Cody Ponce · P · Injured 60-Day
Jake Bloss · P · Injured 60-Day
Jameson Taillon · P · Injured 15-Day
Jonatan Clase · LF · Injured 60-Day
José Berríos · P · Injured 60-Day
Luis Urías · 2B · Injured 10-Day
Patrick Corbin · P · Injured 60-Day
Rudy Martin Jr. · RF · Injured 10-Day
Shane Bieber · P · Injured 15-Day
Trey Yesavage · P · Injured 15-Day
Yimi García · P · Injured 60-Day