Sean Newcomb vs Kyle Leahy
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.
Matchup factors
Weather
89°F
Partly cloudy
Wind 1 mph · in from CF (−1)
7 PM
1
8 PM
1
9 PM
2
10 PM
1
White Sox recordOverall78-75 · .510
Home44-31
Away34-44
Last 103-7
StreakW1
Cardinals recordOverall75-78 · .490
Home37-41
Away38-37
Last 104-6
StreakL2
Win probability — Cardinals
Market50.5%
Model53.1%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = model_v2 (regressed toward the market on the card).
Model picks
MoneylineCardinals -101ProphetX+2.0% EV
Totalno lean
Run lineno lean
Starting pitchers
Compare starters →ERA
2.95
FIP
2.96
K-BB%
13.1%
IP
85
| Split | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | BB/9 | OBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 43 | 2.08 | 1.15 | 7.9 | 3.1 | .223 |
| Away | 42 | 3.86 | 1.21 | 8.6 | 3.6 | .222 |
| Night | 42 | 3.67 | 1.20 | 8.4 | 2.8 | .242 |
| vs LHB | 33 | — | 1.33 | 7.9 | 3.8 | .244 |
| vs RHB | 52 | — | 1.10 | 8.5 | 3.1 | .209 |
ERA
3.33
FIP
3.50
K-BB%
15.8%
IP
135
| Split | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | BB/9 | OBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 71 | 2.79 | 1.30 | 7.9 | 2.5 | .263 |
| Away | 64 | 3.94 | 1.33 | 9.3 | 2.5 | .269 |
| Night | 87 | 3.30 | 1.27 | 8.1 | 2.1 | .266 |
| vs LHB | 67 | — | 1.73 | 8.7 | 3.9 | .312 |
| vs RHB | 67 | — | 0.91 | 8.5 | 1.2 | .213 |
Injuries
White Sox injuriesBrooks Baldwin · LF · Injured 60-Day
Huascar Brazobán · P · Injured 15-Day
Joey Bart · C · Injured 10-Day
Jordan Leasure · P · Injured 60-Day
Ky Bush · P · Injured 60-Day
Mike Vasil · P · Injured 60-Day
Prelander Berroa · P · Injured 60-Day
Tanner Murray · LF · Injured 60-Day
Cardinals injuriesBlaze Jordan · 3B · Injured 10-Day
Everson Pereira · RF · Injured 10-Day
Hunter Dobbins · P · Injured 15-Day
Max Rajcic · P · Injured 60-Day