Angels
Elo 1444 · #28 · 58-94
@
Sat, Sep 12, 3:06 PM CT
Final 5–6
Nationals
Elo 1472 · #25 · 71-82
Walbert Ureña vs Andrew Alvarez
Angels RL
+1.5—
Nationals RL
-1.5—
Over / Under
O 8.5+108Kalshi
U 8.5-108NoVig
Angels ML
+113Kalshi
Nationals ML
-113Kalshi
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.

Matchup factors

Weather
78°F
Partly cloudy
Wind 3 mph · out to CF (+3)
7 PM
3
8 PM
2
9 PM
3
10 PM
3
Angels record
Overall59-94 · .386
Home33-45
Away26-49
Last 105-5
StreakW1
Nationals record
Overall71-82 · .464
Home37-41
Away34-41
Last 104-6
StreakL1

Win probability — Nationals

Market53.0%
Model54.9%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = model_v2 (regressed toward the market on the card).

Model picks

MoneylineNationals -113Kalshi+0.9% EV
Totalno lean
Run lineno lean

Starting pitchers

Compare starters →
rating
101
ERA
2.88
FIP
3.61
K-BB%
11.0%
IP
137
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home782.421.139.14.2.186
Away593.491.387.94.7.230
Night1022.811.268.54.6.204
vs LHB74—1.447.95.5.223
vs RHB62—1.029.63.2.184
rating
105
ERA
3.35
FIP
3.28
K-BB%
12.2%
IP
102
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home583.411.228.73.9.217
Away443.271.348.84.5.228
Night684.371.437.94.8.241
vs LHB27—1.317.83.7.235
vs RHB74—1.289.24.4.217

Injuries

Angels injuries
Anthony Rendon · 3B · Injured 60-Day
George Klassen · P · Injured 15-Day
Gustavo Campero · OF · Injured 10-Day
Jack Kochanowicz · P · Injured 60-Day
Nolan Schanuel · 1B · Injured 10-Day
Robert Stephenson · P · Injured 60-Day
Samy Natera Jr. · P · Injured 15-Day
Yoán Moncada · 3B · Injured 60-Day
Nationals injuries
Connelly Early · P · Injured 60-Day
DJ Herz · P · Injured 60-Day
Drew Millas · C · Injured 60-Day
Josiah Gray · P · Injured 60-Day
Ken Waldichuk · P · Injured 60-Day
Matt Waldron · P · Injured 60-Day
Mitchell Parker · P · Injured 60-Day
Orlando Ribalta · P · Injured 15-Day
PJ Poulin · P · Injured 60-Day