Mets
Elo 1498 · #17 · 69-83
@
Sat, Sep 12, 12:36 PM CT
Final 12–2
Yankees
Elo 1566 · #3 · 88-64
Zac Thornton vs Gerrit Cole
Mets RL
+1.5-138Kalshi
Yankees RL
-1.5+133Kalshi
Over / Under
O 8.5+113Kalshi
U 8.5-108NoVig
Mets ML
+156Kalshi
Yankees ML
-156Kalshi
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.

Matchup factors

Weather
81°F
Cloudy
Wind 5 mph · out to CF (+5)
7 PM
5
8 PM
3
9 PM
2
10 PM
4
Mets record
Overall69-84 · .451
Home34-44
Away35-40
Last 104-6
StreakL5
Yankees record
Overall88-64 · .579
Home42-32
Away46-32
Last 107-3
StreakL1

Win probability — Yankees

Market60.3%
Model61.6%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = model_v2 (regressed toward the market on the card).

Model picks

MoneylineYankees -156Kalshi-0.4% EV
Totalno lean
Run lineno lean

Starting pitchers

Compare starters →
rating
99
ERA
3.44
FIP
4.49
K-BB%
13.3%
IP
73
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home453.801.228.21.8.267
Away282.861.064.52.2.228
Night453.021.166.71.8.261
vs LHB24—1.035.51.5.233
vs RHB48—1.247.52.2.262
rating
114
ERA
3.67
FIP
4.00
K-BB%
20.0%
IP
115
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home533.931.019.21.4.223
Away633.451.239.12.0.255
Night793.191.149.12.0.236
vs LHB69—1.0810.12.1.222
vs RHB46—1.207.71.2.268

Injuries

Mets injuries
Cionel Pérez · P · Injured 15-Day
Daniel Duarte · P · Injured 15-Day
Devin Williams · P · Injured 15-Day
Jorge Polanco · DH · Injured 60-Day
Reed Garrett · P · Injured 60-Day
Robert Stock · P · Injured 15-Day
Tylor Megill · P · Injured 60-Day
Yankees injuries
Fernando Cruz · P · Injured 15-Day
Giancarlo Stanton · DH · Injured 60-Day
Jazz Chisholm Jr. · 2B · Injured 10-Day
Kervin Castro · P · Injured 60-Day
Ryan Weathers · P · Injured 15-Day
Trent Grisham · CF · Injured 10-Day