Padres
Elo 1539 · #8 · 83-69
@
Sat, Sep 12, 3:06 PM CT
Final 7–6
Giants
Elo 1476 · #24 · 65-89
Michael King vs Cesar Perdomo
Padres RL
-1.5+108Kalshi
Giants RL
+1.5-111NoVig
Over / Under
O 8.5+113Kalshi
U 8.5-115NoVig
Padres ML
-163Kalshi
Giants ML
+163NoVig
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.

Matchup factors

Weather
70°F
Partly cloudy
Wind 9 mph · out to CF (+9)
7 PM
9
8 PM
8
9 PM
9
10 PM
9
Padres record
Overall84-69 · .549
Home46-29
Away38-40
Last 109-1
StreakW2
Giants record
Overall64-89 · .418
Home36-39
Away28-50
Last 105-5
StreakW2

Win probability — Giants

Market38.2%
Model49.3%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = model_v2 (regressed toward the market on the card).

Model picks

MoneylinePadres -163Kalshi-5.7% EV
Totalno lean
Run lineno lean

Starting pitchers

rating
98
ERA
3.03
FIP
4.13
K-BB%
11.5%
IP
175
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home892.741.127.93.4.212
Away863.341.187.33.4.218
Night1062.461.168.03.3.219
vs LHB110—1.167.43.6.211
vs RHB63—1.158.23.1.221
Cesar Perdomo
Giants
No rating yet (under 20 IP or not announced).

Injuries

Padres injuries
Bryan Hoeing · P · Injured 60-Day
Gavin Sheets · 1B · Injured 10-Day
Jason Adam · P · Injured 60-Day
Jeremiah Estrada · P · Injured 15-Day
Joe Musgrove · P · Injured 60-Day
Lucas Giolito · P · Injured 60-Day
Luis Rengifo · LF · Injured 60-Day
Miguel Andujar · DH · Injured 10-Day
Ramón Laureano · LF · Injured 60-Day
Giants injuries
Adrian Houser · P · Injured 60-Day
Carson Whisenhunt · P · Injured 60-Day
Casey Schmitt · LF · Injured 60-Day
Daniel Susac · C · Injured 60-Day
Harrison Bader · CF · Injured 60-Day
Hayden Birdsong · P · Injured 60-Day
JT Brubaker · P · Injured 10-Day
Jesus Rodriguez · C · Injured 60-Day
Joel Peguero · P · Injured 60-Day
José Buttó · P · Injured 60-Day
Keaton Winn · P · Injured 60-Day
Marcelo Mayer · 2B · Injured 10-Day
Matt Chapman · 3B · Injured 60-Day
Matt Gage · P · Injured 60-Day
Rafael Devers · 1B · Injured 60-Day
Randy Rodríguez · P · Injured 60-Day
Rowan Wick · P · Injured 60-Day
Sam Hentges · P · Injured 15-Day
Trevor McDonald · P · Injured 60-Day
Victor Bericoto · LF · Injured 10-Day
Willy Adames · SS · Injured 10-Day