Phillies
Elo 1543 · #7 · 83-68
@
Sat, Sep 12, 6:16 PM CT
Final 2–12
Braves
Elo 1537 · #9 · 89-65
TBD vs Tyler Mahle
Phillies RL
+1.5—
Braves RL
-1.5—
Over / Under
O 8.5+113Kalshi
U 8.5-117Kalshi
Phillies ML
+116ProphetX
Braves ML
-117NoVig
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.

Matchup factors

Weather
81°F
Clear
Wind 1 mph · in from CF (−1)
7 PM
1
8 PM
1
9 PM
2
10 PM
2
Phillies record
Overall85-68 · .556
Home41-34
Away44-34
Last 105-5
StreakW2
Braves record
Overall89-64 · .582
Home51-27
Away38-37
Last 104-6
StreakL1

Win probability — Braves

Market53.1%
Model57.0%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = model_v2 (regressed toward the market on the card).

Model picks

MoneylineBraves -117NoVig+0.7% EV
Totalno lean
Run lineno lean

Starting pitchers

TBD
Phillies
No rating yet (under 20 IP or not announced).
rating
105
ERA
3.91
FIP
3.99
K-BB%
14.7%
IP
138
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home712.291.037.82.7.208
Away675.611.478.82.9.289
Night884.381.287.73.2.254
vs LHB83—0.978.52.0.212
vs RHB54—1.678.04.0.300

Injuries

Phillies injuries
Adolis García · RF · Injured 60-Day
Brad Keller · P · Injured 60-Day
Caleb Kilian · P · Injured 15-Day
Felix Reyes · LF · Injured 60-Day
Jesús Luzardo · P · Injured 15-Day
Johan Rojas · CF · Injured 60-Day
Braves injuries
Bryce Elder · P · Injured 15-Day
Joe Jiménez · P · Injured 60-Day
Joey Wentz · P · Injured 60-Day
Lane Thomas · LF · Injured 10-Day
Reynaldo López · P · Injured 15-Day
Robert Suarez · P · Injured 60-Day
Spencer Schwellenbach · P · Injured 60-Day
Spencer Strider · P · Injured 60-Day