Guardians
Elo 1506 · #13 · 78-75
@
Sat, Sep 12, 3:11 PM CT
Final 3–4
Twins
Elo 1463 · #27 · 71-81
Daniel Espino vs Connor Prielipp
Guardians RL
+1.5—
Twins RL
-1.5—
Over / Under
O 8.5+111NoVig
U 8.5-113Kalshi
Guardians ML
+100ProphetX
Twins ML
-104ProphetX
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.

Matchup factors

Weather
67°F
Clear
Wind 6 mph · crosswind
7 PM
6
8 PM
1
9 PM
2
10 PM
2
Guardians record
Overall78-75 · .510
Home38-40
Away40-35
Last 106-4
StreakW2
Twins record
Overall71-82 · .464
Home40-38
Away31-44
Last 103-7
StreakL1

Win probability — Twins

Market50.3%
Model48.0%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = model_v2 (regressed toward the market on the card).

Model picks

MoneylineGuardians +100ProphetX+0.8% EV
Totalno lean
Run lineno lean

Starting pitchers

Daniel Espino
Guardians
No rating yet (under 20 IP or not announced).
rating
108
ERA
5.24
FIP
3.80
K-BB%
15.8%
IP
113
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home644.481.129.22.8.222
Away496.241.639.43.7.305
Night675.941.499.63.8.273
vs LHB31—1.709.14.7.293
vs RHB82—1.229.42.6.247

Injuries

Guardians injuries
Colin Holderman · P · Injured 15-Day
Rhys Hoskins · 1B · Injured 10-Day
Shawn Armstrong · P · Injured 60-Day
Twins injuries
Anthony Banda · P · Injured 60-Day
Byron Buxton · CF · Injured 10-Day
Cole Sands · P · Injured 60-Day
David Festa · P · Injured 60-Day
Kaelen Culpepper · SS · Injured 10-Day
Mick Abel · P · Injured 60-Day
Mike Paredes · P · Injured 60-Day
Pablo López · P · Injured 60-Day