Dodgers
Elo 1571 · #2 · 92-60
@
Sat, Sep 12, 3:11 PM CT
Final 3–4
Marlins
Elo 1501 · #16 · 76-77
Tyler Glasnow vs Tyler Phillips
Dodgers RL
-1.5+101ProphetX
Marlins RL
+1.5+100NoVig
Over / Under
O 7.5-111NoVig
U 7.5+113Kalshi
Dodgers ML
-168ProphetX
Marlins ML
+170Kalshi
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.

Matchup factors

Weather
79°F
Cloudy
Wind 3 mph · in from CF (−3)
7 PM
3
8 PM
6
9 PM
2
10 PM
2
Dodgers record
Overall93-60 · .608
Home47-28
Away46-32
Last 107-3
StreakW1
Marlins record
Overall76-77 · .497
Home45-33
Away31-44
Last 105-5
StreakW2

Win probability — Marlins

Market37.2%
Model38.7%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = model_v2 (regressed toward the market on the card).

Model picks

MoneylineDodgers -168ProphetX-0.5% EV
Totalover 7.5 -111NoVig · proj 8.7+2.9% EV
Run lineno lean

Starting pitchers

Compare starters →
rating
123
ERA
3.50
FIP
2.99
K-BB%
23.2%
IP
62
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home244.561.2311.44.2.212
Away382.840.8211.12.4.160
Night304.201.0010.52.1.211
vs LHB39—1.0310.54.0.172
vs RHB22—0.9113.11.6.195
rating
89
ERA
3.55
FIP
4.73
K-BB%
8.9%
IP
119
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home722.491.268.54.0.221
Away475.211.445.43.7.262
Night623.631.407.84.5.241
vs LHB63—1.507.54.7.251
vs RHB55—1.157.03.0.222

Injuries

Dodgers injuries
Andy Pages · CF · Injured 10-Day
Ben Casparius · P · Injured 60-Day
Brusdar Graterol · P · Injured 60-Day
Dalton Rushing · C · Injured 10-Day
Edgardo Henriquez · P · Injured 15-Day
Edwin Díaz · P · Injured 15-Day
Eric Lauer · P · Injured 60-Day
Gavin Stone · P · Injured 60-Day
Jake Cousins · P · Injured 60-Day
Roki Sasaki · P · Injured 15-Day
Shohei Ohtani · TWP · Injured 15-Day
Will Klein · P · Injured 60-Day
Marlins injuries
Adam Mazur · P · Injured 60-Day
Andrew Nardi · P · Injured 60-Day
Anthony Bender · P · Injured 15-Day
Max Meyer · P · Injured 15-Day
Owen Caissie · RF · Injured 10-Day
Pete Fairbanks · P · Injured 15-Day
Robby Snelling · P · Injured 60-Day
Ronny Henriquez · P · Injured 60-Day
William Kempner · P · Injured 60-Day