Red Sox
Elo 1550 · #5 · 82-70
@
Wed, Sep 16, 7:05 PM CT
Final 3–7
Rangers
Elo 1494 · #20 · 76-76
Jake Bennett vs MacKenzie Gore
Red Sox RL
+1.5—
Rangers RL
-1.5—
Over / Under
O 8.5+117Kalshi
U 8.5-117NoVig
Red Sox ML
+104Kalshi
Rangers ML
-102NoVig
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.

Matchup factors

Weather
97°F
Clear
Wind 10 mph · crosswind
7 PM
10
8 PM
9
9 PM
6
10 PM
5
Red Sox record
Overall83-70 · .542
Home38-37
Away45-33
Last 105-5
StreakW1
Rangers record
Overall76-77 · .497
Home42-33
Away34-44
Last 106-4
StreakL1

Win probability — Rangers

Market50.2%
Model47.6%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = model_v2 (regressed toward the market on the card).

Model picks

MoneylineRed Sox +104Kalshi+3.1% EV
Totalunder 8.5 -117NoVig · proj 7.57+1.6% EV
Run lineno lean

Starting pitchers

Compare starters →
rating
110
ERA
3.77
FIP
3.53
K-BB%
15.9%
IP
110
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home514.211.175.62.1.250
Away583.391.058.91.2.243
Night634.021.127.81.4.258
vs LHB30—0.819.42.4.158
vs RHB80—1.216.61.4.275
rating
105
ERA
4.67
FIP
3.87
K-BB%
14.3%
IP
166
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home823.531.188.93.2.220
Away845.791.529.84.3.264
Night1094.361.418.84.1.246
vs LHB40—1.557.94.7.259
vs RHB125—1.309.93.5.238

Injuries

Red Sox injuries
Anthony Seigler · 2B · Injured 10-Day
Ceddanne Rafaela · CF · Injured 10-Day
Curtis Mead · 3B · Injured 10-Day
Eduardo Rivera · P · Injured 60-Day
Eli White · CF · Injured 10-Day
Garrett Crochet · P · Injured 60-Day
Johan Oviedo · P · Injured 60-Day
Justin Slaten · P · Injured 15-Day
Kutter Crawford · P · Injured 60-Day
Masataka Yoshida · DH · Injured 10-Day
Tanner Houck · P · Injured 60-Day
Triston Casas · 1B · Injured 60-Day
Tyron Guerrero · P · Injured 15-Day
Zack Kelly · P · Injured 60-Day
Rangers injuries
Carter Baumler · P · Injured 60-Day
Cole Winn · P · Injured 15-Day
Jack Leiter · P · Injured 60-Day
Jalen Beeks · P · Injured 60-Day
Jose Corniell · P · Injured 60-Day
Kyle Higashioka · C · Injured 10-Day
Michael Helman · CF · Injured 60-Day
Peyton Gray · P · Injured 15-Day