White Sox
Elo 1497 · #19 · 77-75
@
Wed, Sep 16, 12:11 PM CT
Final 3–6
Guardians
Elo 1506 · #13 · 78-75
Anthony Kay vs Parker Messick
White Sox RL
+1.5-150Kalshi
Guardians RL
-1.5+150NoVig
Over / Under
O 7.5+122NoVig
U 7.5-125NoVig
White Sox ML
+144NoVig
Guardians ML
-144Kalshi
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.

Matchup factors

Weather
72°F
Cloudy
Wind 3 mph · crosswind
7 PM
3
8 PM
3
9 PM
3
10 PM
3
White Sox record
Overall78-75 · .510
Home44-31
Away34-44
Last 103-7
StreakW1
Guardians record
Overall78-75 · .510
Home38-40
Away40-35
Last 106-4
StreakW2

Win probability — Guardians

Market59.2%
Model59.6%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = model_v2 (regressed toward the market on the card).

Model picks

MoneylineGuardians -144Kalshi+0.5% EV
Totalno lean
Run lineno lean

Starting pitchers

Compare starters →
White Sox
rating
93
ERA
4.41
FIP
4.39
K-BB%
10.2%
IP
149
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home793.861.307.42.6.260
Away705.041.427.23.9.253
Night915.361.387.93.5.256
vs LHB44—0.899.71.9.186
vs RHB105—1.556.33.8.283
rating
121
ERA
2.57
FIP
3.15
K-BB%
19.6%
IP
178
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home932.901.1510.22.4.234
Away852.210.918.52.3.184
Night1142.370.999.42.1.207
vs LHB47—1.209.12.5.242
vs RHB131—0.989.62.3.200

Injuries

White Sox injuries
Brooks Baldwin · LF · Injured 60-Day
Huascar Brazobán · P · Injured 15-Day
Joey Bart · C · Injured 10-Day
Jordan Leasure · P · Injured 60-Day
Ky Bush · P · Injured 60-Day
Mike Vasil · P · Injured 60-Day
Prelander Berroa · P · Injured 60-Day
Tanner Murray · LF · Injured 60-Day
Guardians injuries
Colin Holderman · P · Injured 15-Day
Rhys Hoskins · 1B · Injured 10-Day
Shawn Armstrong · P · Injured 60-Day