Marlins
Elo 1501 · #16 · 76-77
@
Wed, Sep 16, 8:41 PM CT
Final 4–3
Diamondbacks
Elo 1511 · #12 · 80-73
Ryan Gusto vs Merrill Kelly
Marlins RL
+1.5-174NoVig
Diamondbacks RL
-1.5+170Kalshi
Over / Under
O 8.5-113Kalshi
U 8.5+113NoVig
Marlins ML
+124ProphetX
Diamondbacks ML
-125NoVig
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.

Matchup factors

Weather
89°F
Partly cloudy
Wind 4 mph · in from CF (−4)
7 PM
4
8 PM
4
9 PM
3
10 PM
3
Marlins record
Overall76-77 · .497
Home45-33
Away31-44
Last 105-5
StreakW2
Diamondbacks record
Overall80-73 · .523
Home43-35
Away37-38
Last 105-5
StreakL2

Win probability — Diamondbacks

Market55.2%
Model50.7%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = model_v2 (regressed toward the market on the card).

Model picks

MoneylineDiamondbacks -125NoVig-3.1% EV
Totalno lean
Run lineno lean

Starting pitchers

Compare starters →
Marlins
rating
98
ERA
4.14
FIP
4.21
K-BB%
11.7%
IP
83
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home463.911.397.03.3.264
Away374.421.508.12.2.291
Night593.031.317.12.6.257
vs LHB49—1.467.23.7.266
vs RHB34—1.417.91.6.292
Diamondbacks
rating
78
ERA
5.00
FIP
5.43
K-BB%
6.2%
IP
157
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home685.821.577.54.0.283
Away894.361.405.54.0.259
Night935.131.526.74.2.274
vs LHB90—1.625.85.0.270
vs RHB64—1.327.42.7.269

Injuries

Marlins injuries
Adam Mazur · P · Injured 60-Day
Andrew Nardi · P · Injured 60-Day
Anthony Bender · P · Injured 15-Day
Max Meyer · P · Injured 15-Day
Owen Caissie · RF · Injured 10-Day
Pete Fairbanks · P · Injured 15-Day
Robby Snelling · P · Injured 60-Day
Ronny Henriquez · P · Injured 60-Day
William Kempner · P · Injured 60-Day
Diamondbacks injuries
A.J. Puk · P · Injured 60-Day
Andrew Saalfrank · P · Injured 60-Day
Cristian Mena · P · Injured 60-Day
Ryan Thompson · P · Injured 60-Day
Tyler Locklear · 1B · Injured 60-Day