Athletics
Elo 1424 · #29 · 61-91
@
Wed, Sep 16, 5:41 PM CT
Final 3–4
Rays
Elo 1547 · #6 · 92-59
Brady Basso vs Nick Martinez
Athletics RL
+1.5-125NoVig
Rays RL
-1.5+123ProphetX
Over / Under
O 8.5+114ProphetX
U 8.5-115NoVig
Athletics ML
+172ProphetX
Rays ML
-178Kalshi
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.

Matchup factors

Weather
Roof closed
Neutral conditions
Athletics record
Overall61-92 · .399
Home29-46
Away32-46
Last 104-6
StreakL3
Rays record
Overall93-59 · .612
Home53-25
Away40-34
Last 108-2
StreakW6

Win probability — Rays

Market63.1%
Model63.8%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = model_v2 (regressed toward the market on the card).

Model picks

MoneylineRays -178Kalshi-1.1% EV
Totalunder 8.5 -115NoVig · proj 7.55+1.7% EV
Run lineno lean

Starting pitchers

Compare starters →
Athletics
rating
104
ERA
4.50
FIP
3.30
K-BB%
11.8%
IP
40
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home224.571.529.12.1.301
Away184.421.423.01.0.320
Night264.101.486.51.4.313
vs LHB15—1.306.51.2.286
vs RHB24—1.606.31.9.324
rating
98
ERA
2.94
FIP
4.04
K-BB%
11.3%
IP
171
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home853.901.205.71.4.267
Away861.990.944.91.1.221
Night1123.301.165.11.4.259
vs LHB101—1.025.71.4.229
vs RHB69—1.154.81.0.267

Injuries

Athletics injuries
Brent Rooker · DH · Injured 60-Day
Brooks Kriske · P · Injured 60-Day
Gage Jump · P · Injured 15-Day
Gunnar Hoglund · P · Injured 60-Day
J.T. Ginn · P · Injured 15-Day
Jacob Wilson · SS · Injured 60-Day
Joshua Kuroda-Grauer · 3B · Injured 60-Day
Justin Sterner · P · Injured 60-Day
Luis Severino · P · Injured 60-Day
Mark Leiter Jr. · P · Injured 60-Day
Nick Kurtz · 1B · Injured 60-Day
Tyler Soderstrom · LF · Injured 10-Day
Rays injuries
Ben Williamson · 2B · Injured 10-Day
Edwin Uceta · P · Injured 60-Day
Garrett Cleavinger · P · Injured 15-Day
Gavin Lux · LF · Injured 60-Day
Jonathan Heasley · P · Injured 60-Day
Manuel Rodríguez · P · Injured 15-Day
Ryan Pepiot · P · Injured 60-Day
Shane McClanahan · P · Injured 15-Day
Tyler Wells · P · Injured 15-Day