Logan Henderson vs Jared Jones
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.
Matchup factors
Weather
78°F
Showers
Wind 4 mph · out to CF (+4)
7 PM
4
8 PM
4
9 PM
1
10 PM
3
Brewers recordOverall95-58 · .621
Home52-26
Away43-32
Last 107-3
StreakL1
Pirates recordOverall76-77 · .497
Home39-36
Away37-41
Last 106-4
StreakW1
Win probability — Pirates
Market46.5%
Model42.7%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = model_v2 (regressed toward the market on the card).
Model picks
MoneylineBrewers -114ProphetX+2.6% EV
Totalno lean
Run lineno lean
Starting pitchers
Compare starters →ERA
2.51
FIP
3.38
K-BB%
26.1%
IP
93
| Split | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | BB/9 | OBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 44 | 1.84 | 0.77 | 10.2 | 1.6 | .169 |
| Away | 49 | 3.10 | 0.85 | 10.4 | 1.5 | .192 |
| Night | 64 | 2.52 | 0.81 | 10.5 | 1.7 | .176 |
| vs LHB | 61 | — | 0.80 | 10.5 | 1.8 | .174 |
| vs RHB | 32 | — | 0.84 | 10.1 | 1.1 | .195 |
ERA
4.17
FIP
3.55
K-BB%
20.5%
IP
91
| Split | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | BB/9 | OBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 50 | 4.68 | 1.08 | 10.8 | 2.5 | .215 |
| Away | 41 | 3.54 | 1.33 | 10.8 | 3.8 | .234 |
| Night | 61 | 3.39 | 1.13 | 10.9 | 2.2 | .232 |
| vs LHB | 53 | — | 1.22 | 11.3 | 3.7 | .216 |
| vs RHB | 37 | — | 1.16 | 10.2 | 2.2 | .234 |
Injuries
Brewers injuriesAngel Zerpa · P · Injured 60-Day
Brandon Woodruff · P · Injured 60-Day
Brian Fitzpatrick · P · Injured 60-Day
Bryse Wilson · P · Injured 15-Day
Grant Anderson · P · Injured 15-Day
Quinn Priester · P · Injured 60-Day
Rob Zastryzny · P · Injured 60-Day
Pirates injuriesBraxton Ashcraft · P · Injured 15-Day
Endy Rodríguez · C · Injured 60-Day
Esmerlyn Valdez · RF · Injured 10-Day
Isaac Mattson · P · Injured 15-Day
Kirby Yates · P · Injured 15-Day
Mitch Keller · P · Injured 60-Day