Tigers
Elo 1518 · #10 · 71-80
@
Wed, Sep 16, 2:08 PM CT
Final 1–5
Blue Jays
Elo 1514 · #11 · 76-77
Keider Montero vs Max Scherzer
Tigers RL
+1.5-178NoVig
Blue Jays RL
-1.5+178Kalshi
Over / Under
O 8.5+108Kalshi
U 8.5-113Kalshi
Tigers ML
+123ProphetX
Blue Jays ML
-125ProphetX
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.

Matchup factors

Weather
71°F
Cloudy
Wind 2 mph · in from CF (−2)
7 PM
2
8 PM
5
9 PM
7
10 PM
6
Tigers record
Overall72-81 · .471
Home39-36
Away33-45
Last 107-3
StreakL2
Blue Jays record
Overall76-77 · .497
Home40-38
Away36-39
Last 104-6
StreakW1

Win probability — Blue Jays

Market55.3%
Model43.1%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = model_v2 (regressed toward the market on the card).

Model picks

MoneylineTigers +123ProphetX+7.8% EV
Totalno lean
Run lineno lean

Starting pitchers

Compare starters →
rating
97
ERA
3.58
FIP
4.03
K-BB%
10.8%
IP
151
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home893.431.105.12.0.233
Away623.790.997.42.3.199
Night733.441.066.82.2.218
vs LHB85—1.165.32.6.228
vs RHB66—0.917.11.5.207
Blue Jays
rating
82
ERA
6.07
FIP
5.50
K-BB%
7.3%
IP
73
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home496.241.377.74.2.235
Away245.701.354.63.0.258
Night477.231.565.54.2.274
vs LHB43—1.715.35.1.280
vs RHB30—0.888.82.1.181

Injuries

Tigers injuries
Bailey Horn · P · Injured 60-Day
Burch Smith · P · Injured 60-Day
Jack Flaherty · P · Injured 15-Day
Justin Verlander · P · Injured 60-Day
Kerry Carpenter · RF · Injured 10-Day
Matt Vierling · CF · Injured 60-Day
Parker Meadows · CF · Injured 60-Day
Reese Olson · P · Injured 60-Day
Trey Sweeney · SS · Injured 60-Day
Wenceel Pérez · RF · Injured 60-Day
Will Vest · P · Injured 60-Day
Blue Jays injuries
Addison Barger · RF · Injured 60-Day
Anthony Santander · RF · Injured 60-Day
Bowden Francis · P · Injured 60-Day
Cody Ponce · P · Injured 60-Day
Jake Bloss · P · Injured 60-Day
Jameson Taillon · P · Injured 15-Day
Jonatan Clase · LF · Injured 60-Day
José Berríos · P · Injured 60-Day
Luis Urías · 2B · Injured 10-Day
Patrick Corbin · P · Injured 60-Day
Rudy Martin Jr. · RF · Injured 10-Day
Shane Bieber · P · Injured 15-Day
Trey Yesavage · P · Injured 15-Day
Yimi García · P · Injured 60-Day