Dodgers
Elo 1571 · #2 · 92-60
@
Wed, Sep 16, 5:41 PM CT
Final 2–6
Reds
Elo 1464 · #26 · 71-81
Blake Snell vs Andrew Abbott
Dodgers RL
-1.5-117Kalshi
Reds RL
+1.5+115ProphetX
Over / Under
O 8.5+108NoVig
U 8.5-108Kalshi
Dodgers ML
-194Kalshi
Reds ML
+190NoVig
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.

Matchup factors

Weather
85°F
Clear
Wind 3 mph · out to CF (+3)
7 PM
3
8 PM
4
9 PM
2
10 PM
3
Dodgers record
Overall93-60 · .608
Home47-28
Away46-32
Last 107-3
StreakW1
Reds record
Overall71-82 · .464
Home37-41
Away34-41
Last 102-8
StreakL1

Win probability — Reds

Market34.3%
Model32.2%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = model_v2 (regressed toward the market on the card).

Model picks

MoneylineDodgers -194Kalshi+0.6% EV
Totalover 8.5 +108NoVig · proj 10.54+8.3% EV
Run lineno lean

Starting pitchers

Compare starters →
rating
126
ERA
1.86
FIP
1.76
K-BB%
22.9%
IP
39
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home212.141.1412.03.4.208
Away181.531.0212.24.1.164
Night282.281.1211.73.3.210
vs LHB11—1.5015.26.8.205
vs RHB27—0.9511.22.6.182
rating
83
ERA
4.70
FIP
5.01
K-BB%
7.1%
IP
159
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home784.481.377.64.0.242
Away814.911.576.64.5.274
Night824.261.407.34.2.241
vs LHB43—1.3110.32.1.269
vs RHB115—1.556.05.1.254

Injuries

Dodgers injuries
Andy Pages · CF · Injured 10-Day
Ben Casparius · P · Injured 60-Day
Brusdar Graterol · P · Injured 60-Day
Dalton Rushing · C · Injured 10-Day
Edgardo Henriquez · P · Injured 15-Day
Edwin Díaz · P · Injured 15-Day
Eric Lauer · P · Injured 60-Day
Gavin Stone · P · Injured 60-Day
Jake Cousins · P · Injured 60-Day
Roki Sasaki · P · Injured 15-Day
Shohei Ohtani · TWP · Injured 15-Day
Will Klein · P · Injured 60-Day
Reds injuries
Blake Dunn · CF · Injured 60-Day
Hunter Greene · P · Injured 60-Day
Michael Toglia · 1B · Injured 60-Day
Spencer Steer · 1B · Injured 10-Day