Braves
Elo 1537 · #9 · 89-65
@
Wed, Sep 16, 6:41 PM CT
Final 4–8
Cubs
Elo 1559 · #4 · 85-68
JR Ritchie vs Shota Imanaga
Braves RL
+1.5-156NoVig
Cubs RL
-1.5+156Kalshi
Over / Under
O 7.5+104Kalshi
U 7.5-106NoVig
Braves ML
+141NoVig
Cubs ML
-144Kalshi
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.

Matchup factors

Weather
68°F
Cloudy
Wind 10 mph · in from CF (−10)
7 PM
10
8 PM
6
9 PM
5
10 PM
7
Braves record
Overall89-64 · .582
Home51-27
Away38-37
Last 104-6
StreakL1
Cubs record
Overall85-68 · .556
Home45-33
Away40-35
Last 104-6
StreakW1

Win probability — Cubs

Market58.6%
Model57.2%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = model_v2 (regressed toward the market on the card).

Model picks

MoneylineCubs -144Kalshi-1.4% EV
Totalover 7.5 +104Kalshi · proj 8.51+4.8% EV
Run lineno lean

Starting pitchers

Compare starters →
rating
83
ERA
5.02
FIP
5.45
K-BB%
7.2%
IP
63
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home264.441.528.55.8.232
Away365.451.438.25.2.233
Night455.801.568.65.8.243
vs LHB36—1.679.56.8.241
vs RHB26—1.226.83.8.221
rating
108
ERA
3.80
FIP
4.54
K-BB%
18.6%
IP
168
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home1064.001.148.72.0.239
Away633.451.058.91.9.225
Night1014.261.088.31.8.232
vs LHB45—1.169.72.6.229
vs RHB122—1.108.61.8.235

Injuries

Braves injuries
Bryce Elder · P · Injured 15-Day
Joe Jiménez · P · Injured 60-Day
Joey Wentz · P · Injured 60-Day
Lane Thomas · LF · Injured 10-Day
Reynaldo López · P · Injured 15-Day
Robert Suarez · P · Injured 60-Day
Spencer Schwellenbach · P · Injured 60-Day
Spencer Strider · P · Injured 60-Day
Cubs injuries
Ben Brown · P · Injured 60-Day
Cade Horton · P · Injured 60-Day
Dansby Swanson · SS · Injured 10-Day
Gavin Hollowell · P · Injured 15-Day
Hunter Harvey · P · Injured 60-Day
Justin Steele · P · Injured 60-Day
Phil Maton · P · Injured 60-Day
Porter Hodge · P · Injured 60-Day
Riley Martin · P · Injured 60-Day
Shelby Miller · P · Injured 60-Day
Trent Thornton · P · Injured 15-Day
Tyler Austin · 1B · Injured 60-Day