Orioles
Elo 1505 · #14 · 75-77
@
Wed, Sep 16, 6:11 PM CT
Final 7–1
Mets
Elo 1498 · #17 · 69-83
Chris Bassitt vs Robert Stock
Orioles RL
+1.5-163Kalshi
Mets RL
-1.5+160NoVig
Over / Under
O 8.5-117Kalshi
U 8.5+117NoVig
Orioles ML
+122Kalshi
Mets ML
-123ProphetX
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.

Matchup factors

Weather
79°F
Cloudy
Wind 8 mph · out to CF (+8)
7 PM
8
8 PM
7
9 PM
4
10 PM
4
Orioles record
Overall75-78 · .490
Home36-39
Away39-39
Last 106-4
StreakW3
Mets record
Overall69-84 · .451
Home34-44
Away35-40
Last 104-6
StreakL5

Win probability — Mets

Market55.3%
Model53.5%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = model_v2 (regressed toward the market on the card).

Model picks

MoneylineMets -123ProphetX-0.8% EV
Totalno lean
Run lineno lean

Starting pitchers

Compare starters →
rating
91
ERA
4.64
FIP
4.20
K-BB%
8.0%
IP
97
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home433.531.387.52.7.276
Away545.531.686.04.0.303
Night663.801.526.53.7.280
vs LHB56—1.726.64.0.310
vs RHB40—1.346.92.7.264
rating
99
ERA
5.94
FIP
3.63
K-BB%
9.5%
IP
30
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home184.501.508.54.0.260
Away128.032.118.85.1.345
Night217.712.148.15.1.347
vs LHB20—1.788.74.6.294
vs RHB10—1.748.74.3.302

Injuries

Orioles injuries
Blaze Alexander · 3B · Injured 10-Day
Christian Franklin · CF · Injured 10-Day
Colin Selby · P · Injured 60-Day
Félix Bautista · P · Injured 60-Day
Jackson Holliday · 2B · Injured 10-Day
Jordan Westburg · 3B · Injured 60-Day
Keegan Akin · P · Injured 60-Day
Kyle Bradish · P · Injured 15-Day
Luis Robert Jr. · CF · Injured 10-Day
Ryan Helsley · P · Injured 60-Day
Ryan Mountcastle · 1B · Injured 60-Day
Tyler O'Neill · RF · Injured 10-Day
Zach Eflin · P · Injured 60-Day
Mets injuries
Cionel Pérez · P · Injured 15-Day
Daniel Duarte · P · Injured 15-Day
Devin Williams · P · Injured 15-Day
Jorge Polanco · DH · Injured 60-Day
Reed Garrett · P · Injured 60-Day
Robert Stock · P · Injured 15-Day
Tylor Megill · P · Injured 60-Day