Phillies
Elo 1543 · #7 · 83-68
@
Wed, Sep 16, 5:46 PM CT
Final 3–0
Nationals
Elo 1472 · #25 · 71-82
Zack Wheeler vs Jared Simpson
Phillies RL
-1.5-104Kalshi
Nationals RL
+1.5+104NoVig
Over / Under
O 8.5-122Kalshi
U 8.5+120NoVig
Phillies ML
-178NoVig
Nationals ML
+176ProphetX
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.

Matchup factors

Weather
78°F
Partly cloudy
Wind 3 mph · out to CF (+3)
7 PM
3
8 PM
2
9 PM
3
10 PM
3
Phillies record
Overall85-68 · .556
Home41-34
Away44-34
Last 105-5
StreakW2
Nationals record
Overall71-82 · .464
Home37-41
Away34-41
Last 104-6
StreakL1

Win probability — Nationals

Market36.3%
Model47.0%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = model_v2 (regressed toward the market on the card).

Model picks

MoneylinePhillies -178NoVig-5.5% EV
Totalno lean
Run lineno lean

Starting pitchers

Phillies
rating
122
ERA
2.99
FIP
3.50
K-BB%
21.9%
IP
150
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home662.861.0811.43.4.193
Away843.091.049.92.2.217
Night1043.621.1510.52.9.225
vs LHB85—1.2010.43.5.220
vs RHB65—0.8811.01.8.189
Jared Simpson
Nationals
No rating yet (under 20 IP or not announced).

Injuries

Phillies injuries
Adolis García · RF · Injured 60-Day
Brad Keller · P · Injured 60-Day
Caleb Kilian · P · Injured 15-Day
Felix Reyes · LF · Injured 60-Day
Jesús Luzardo · P · Injured 15-Day
Johan Rojas · CF · Injured 60-Day
Nationals injuries
Connelly Early · P · Injured 60-Day
DJ Herz · P · Injured 60-Day
Drew Millas · C · Injured 60-Day
Josiah Gray · P · Injured 60-Day
Ken Waldichuk · P · Injured 60-Day
Matt Waldron · P · Injured 60-Day
Mitchell Parker · P · Injured 60-Day
Orlando Ribalta · P · Injured 15-Day
PJ Poulin · P · Injured 60-Day