Braves
Elo 1537 · #9 · 89-65
@
Sat, Sep 5, 5:06 PM CT
Final 2–4
Phillies
Elo 1543 · #7 · 83-68
Martín Pérez vs Zack Wheeler
Braves RL
+1.5-150Kalshi
Phillies RL
-1.5+144Kalshi
Over / Under
O 8.5+106NoVig
U 8.5-105ProphetX
Braves ML
+144Kalshi
Phillies ML
-147NoVig
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.

Matchup factors

Weather
79°F
Clear
Wind 3 mph · out to CF (+3)
7 PM
3
8 PM
5
9 PM
5
10 PM
3
Braves record
Overall89-64 · .582
Home51-27
Away38-37
Last 104-6
StreakL1
Phillies record
Overall85-68 · .556
Home41-34
Away44-34
Last 105-5
StreakW2

Win probability — Phillies

Market59.2%
Model53.4%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = model_v2 (regressed toward the market on the card).

Model picks

MoneylinePhillies -147NoVig-3.5% EV
Totalno lean
Run lineno lean

Starting pitchers

Compare starters →
rating
88
ERA
3.07
FIP
4.29
K-BB%
7.0%
IP
138
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home751.801.046.23.8.178
Away634.601.526.94.0.273
Night902.901.276.54.4.213
vs LHB40—1.187.72.0.247
vs RHB98—1.296.14.7.214
Phillies
rating
122
ERA
2.99
FIP
3.50
K-BB%
21.9%
IP
150
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home662.861.0811.43.4.193
Away843.091.049.92.2.217
Night1043.621.1510.52.9.225
vs LHB85—1.2010.43.5.220
vs RHB65—0.8811.01.8.189

Injuries

Braves injuries
Bryce Elder · P · Injured 15-Day
Joe Jiménez · P · Injured 60-Day
Joey Wentz · P · Injured 60-Day
Lane Thomas · LF · Injured 10-Day
Reynaldo López · P · Injured 15-Day
Robert Suarez · P · Injured 60-Day
Spencer Schwellenbach · P · Injured 60-Day
Spencer Strider · P · Injured 60-Day
Phillies injuries
Adolis García · RF · Injured 60-Day
Brad Keller · P · Injured 60-Day
Caleb Kilian · P · Injured 15-Day
Felix Reyes · LF · Injured 60-Day
Jesús Luzardo · P · Injured 15-Day
Johan Rojas · CF · Injured 60-Day