Nationals
Elo 1472 · #25 · 71-82
@
Sat, Sep 5, 8:11 PM CT
Final 5–6
Dodgers
Elo 1571 · #2 · 92-60
Cade Cavalli vs Tyler Glasnow
Nationals RL
+1.5-113NoVig
Dodgers RL
-1.5+113Kalshi
Over / Under
O 7.5+117Kalshi
U 7.5-122Kalshi
Nationals ML
+203Kalshi
Dodgers ML
-200ProphetX
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.

Matchup factors

Weather
76°F
Clear
Wind 10 mph · out to CF (+10)
7 PM
10
8 PM
9
9 PM
8
10 PM
5
Nationals record
Overall71-82 · .464
Home37-41
Away34-41
Last 104-6
StreakL1
Dodgers record
Overall93-60 · .608
Home47-28
Away46-32
Last 107-3
StreakW1

Win probability — Dodgers

Market66.7%
Model58.2%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = model_v2 (regressed toward the market on the card).

Model picks

MoneylineDodgers -200ProphetX-3.7% EV
Totalno lean
Run lineno lean

Starting pitchers

Compare starters →
Nationals
rating
124
ERA
3.11
FIP
3.14
K-BB%
21.3%
IP
165
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home913.251.1810.62.7.236
Away732.951.1510.62.6.229
Night823.071.1511.52.9.221
vs LHB96—1.2110.42.5.244
vs RHB68—1.1211.02.8.217
rating
123
ERA
3.50
FIP
2.99
K-BB%
23.2%
IP
62
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home244.561.2311.44.2.212
Away382.840.8211.12.4.160
Night304.201.0010.52.1.211
vs LHB39—1.0310.54.0.172
vs RHB22—0.9113.11.6.195

Injuries

Nationals injuries
Connelly Early · P · Injured 60-Day
DJ Herz · P · Injured 60-Day
Drew Millas · C · Injured 60-Day
Josiah Gray · P · Injured 60-Day
Ken Waldichuk · P · Injured 60-Day
Matt Waldron · P · Injured 60-Day
Mitchell Parker · P · Injured 60-Day
Orlando Ribalta · P · Injured 15-Day
PJ Poulin · P · Injured 60-Day
Dodgers injuries
Andy Pages · CF · Injured 10-Day
Ben Casparius · P · Injured 60-Day
Brusdar Graterol · P · Injured 60-Day
Dalton Rushing · C · Injured 10-Day
Edgardo Henriquez · P · Injured 15-Day
Edwin Díaz · P · Injured 15-Day
Eric Lauer · P · Injured 60-Day
Gavin Stone · P · Injured 60-Day
Jake Cousins · P · Injured 60-Day
Roki Sasaki · P · Injured 15-Day
Shohei Ohtani · TWP · Injured 15-Day
Will Klein · P · Injured 60-Day