Twins
Elo 1463 · #27 · 71-81
@
Sat, Sep 5, 6:11 PM CT
Final 6–4
White Sox
Elo 1497 · #19 · 77-75
Taj Bradley vs Anthony Kay
Twins RL
-1.5+178Kalshi
White Sox RL
+1.5-186Kalshi
Over / Under
O 8.5+108Kalshi
U 8.5-111NoVig
Twins ML
+110ProphetX
White Sox ML
-111NoVig
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.

Matchup factors

Weather
69°F
Cloudy
Wind 10 mph · crosswind
7 PM
10
8 PM
9
9 PM
6
10 PM
9
Twins record
Overall71-82 · .464
Home40-38
Away31-44
Last 103-7
StreakL1
White Sox record
Overall78-75 · .510
Home44-31
Away34-44
Last 103-7
StreakW1

Win probability — White Sox

Market52.5%
Model54.4%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = model_v2 (regressed toward the market on the card).

Model picks

MoneylineWhite Sox -111NoVig+0.9% EV
Totalno lean
Run lineno lean

Starting pitchers

Compare starters →
rating
109
ERA
3.81
FIP
4.02
K-BB%
16.9%
IP
165
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home803.051.1010.43.6.194
Away864.521.3810.34.2.237
Night914.271.2111.33.7.215
vs LHB99—1.2610.84.6.204
vs RHB67—1.239.63.0.235
White Sox
rating
93
ERA
4.41
FIP
4.39
K-BB%
10.2%
IP
149
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home793.861.307.42.6.260
Away705.041.427.23.9.253
Night915.361.387.93.5.256
vs LHB44—0.899.71.9.186
vs RHB105—1.556.33.8.283

Injuries

Twins injuries
Anthony Banda · P · Injured 60-Day
Byron Buxton · CF · Injured 10-Day
Cole Sands · P · Injured 60-Day
David Festa · P · Injured 60-Day
Kaelen Culpepper · SS · Injured 10-Day
Mick Abel · P · Injured 60-Day
Mike Paredes · P · Injured 60-Day
Pablo López · P · Injured 60-Day
White Sox injuries
Brooks Baldwin · LF · Injured 60-Day
Huascar Brazobán · P · Injured 15-Day
Joey Bart · C · Injured 10-Day
Jordan Leasure · P · Injured 60-Day
Ky Bush · P · Injured 60-Day
Mike Vasil · P · Injured 60-Day
Prelander Berroa · P · Injured 60-Day
Tanner Murray · LF · Injured 60-Day