Brewers
Elo 1594 · #1 · 95-57
@
Sat, Sep 5, 5:41 PM CT
Final 3–5
Reds
Elo 1464 · #26 · 71-81
Dustin May vs Andrew Abbott
Brewers RL
-1.5+108Kalshi
Reds RL
+1.5-113Kalshi
Over / Under
O 9.5+122NoVig
U 9.5-122Kalshi
Brewers ML
-142ProphetX
Reds ML
+140ProphetX
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.

Matchup factors

Weather
85°F
Clear
Wind 3 mph · out to CF (+3)
7 PM
3
8 PM
4
9 PM
2
10 PM
3
Brewers record
Overall95-58 · .621
Home52-26
Away43-32
Last 107-3
StreakL1
Reds record
Overall71-82 · .464
Home37-41
Away34-41
Last 102-8
StreakL1

Win probability — Reds

Market41.3%
Model39.4%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = model_v2 (regressed toward the market on the card).

Model picks

MoneylineBrewers -142ProphetX+1.0% EV
Totalno lean
Run lineno lean

Starting pitchers

Compare starters →
Brewers
rating
110
ERA
4.49
FIP
3.31
K-BB%
14.9%
IP
138
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home863.871.218.43.0.234
Away525.501.419.12.9.284
Night723.111.128.62.4.230
vs LHB80—1.479.14.3.265
vs RHB57—1.058.21.3.236
rating
83
ERA
4.70
FIP
5.01
K-BB%
7.1%
IP
159
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home784.481.377.64.0.242
Away814.911.576.64.5.274
Night824.261.407.34.2.241
vs LHB43—1.3110.32.1.269
vs RHB115—1.556.05.1.254

Injuries

Brewers injuries
Angel Zerpa · P · Injured 60-Day
Brandon Woodruff · P · Injured 60-Day
Brian Fitzpatrick · P · Injured 60-Day
Bryse Wilson · P · Injured 15-Day
Grant Anderson · P · Injured 15-Day
Quinn Priester · P · Injured 60-Day
Rob Zastryzny · P · Injured 60-Day
Reds injuries
Blake Dunn · CF · Injured 60-Day
Hunter Greene · P · Injured 60-Day
Michael Toglia · 1B · Injured 60-Day
Spencer Steer · 1B · Injured 10-Day