Giants
Elo 1476 · #24 · 65-89
@
Sat, Sep 5, 3:11 PM CT
Final 9–5
Mets
Elo 1498 · #17 · 69-83
Anthony Molina vs Zac Thornton
Giants RL
+1.5-130NoVig
Mets RL
-1.5+127Kalshi
Over / Under
O 7.5-117Kalshi
U 7.5+115NoVig
Giants ML
+166ProphetX
Mets ML
-168ProphetX
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.

Matchup factors

Weather
79°F
Cloudy
Wind 8 mph · out to CF (+8)
7 PM
8
8 PM
7
9 PM
4
10 PM
4
Giants record
Overall64-89 · .418
Home36-39
Away28-50
Last 105-5
StreakW2
Mets record
Overall69-84 · .451
Home34-44
Away35-40
Last 104-6
StreakL5

Win probability — Mets

Market62.3%
Model56.0%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = model_v2 (regressed toward the market on the card).

Model picks

MoneylineMets -168ProphetX-3.6% EV
Totalno lean
Run lineno lean

Starting pitchers

Compare starters →
rating
108
ERA
4.18
FIP
3.45
K-BB%
16.7%
IP
28
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home98.681.714.82.9.325
Away191.930.809.61.4.176
Night166.611.416.12.2.288
vs LHB16—1.095.70.6.258
vs RHB12—1.1410.93.6.196
rating
99
ERA
3.44
FIP
4.49
K-BB%
13.3%
IP
73
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home453.801.228.21.8.267
Away282.861.064.52.2.228
Night453.021.166.71.8.261
vs LHB24—1.035.51.5.233
vs RHB48—1.247.52.2.262

Injuries

Giants injuries
Adrian Houser · P · Injured 60-Day
Carson Whisenhunt · P · Injured 60-Day
Casey Schmitt · LF · Injured 60-Day
Daniel Susac · C · Injured 60-Day
Harrison Bader · CF · Injured 60-Day
Hayden Birdsong · P · Injured 60-Day
JT Brubaker · P · Injured 10-Day
Jesus Rodriguez · C · Injured 60-Day
Joel Peguero · P · Injured 60-Day
José Buttó · P · Injured 60-Day
Keaton Winn · P · Injured 60-Day
Marcelo Mayer · 2B · Injured 10-Day
Matt Chapman · 3B · Injured 60-Day
Matt Gage · P · Injured 60-Day
Rafael Devers · 1B · Injured 60-Day
Randy Rodríguez · P · Injured 60-Day
Rowan Wick · P · Injured 60-Day
Sam Hentges · P · Injured 15-Day
Trevor McDonald · P · Injured 60-Day
Victor Bericoto · LF · Injured 10-Day
Willy Adames · SS · Injured 10-Day
Mets injuries
Cionel Pérez · P · Injured 15-Day
Daniel Duarte · P · Injured 15-Day
Devin Williams · P · Injured 15-Day
Jorge Polanco · DH · Injured 60-Day
Reed Garrett · P · Injured 60-Day
Robert Stock · P · Injured 15-Day
Tylor Megill · P · Injured 60-Day