Red Sox
Elo 1550 · #5 · 82-70
@
Sat, Sep 5, 6:06 PM CT
Final 5–0
Orioles
Elo 1505 · #14 · 75-77
Sonny Gray vs Chris Bassitt
Red Sox RL
-1.5+127NoVig
Orioles RL
+1.5-127Kalshi
Over / Under
O 8.5+113Kalshi
U 8.5-115NoVig
Red Sox ML
-133Kalshi
Orioles ML
+133NoVig
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.

Matchup factors

Weather
79°F
Partly cloudy
Wind 3 mph · out to CF (+3)
7 PM
3
8 PM
4
9 PM
4
10 PM
3
Red Sox record
Overall83-70 · .542
Home38-37
Away45-33
Last 105-5
StreakW1
Orioles record
Overall75-78 · .490
Home36-39
Away39-39
Last 106-4
StreakW3

Win probability — Orioles

Market43.2%
Model45.4%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = model_v2 (regressed toward the market on the card).

Model picks

MoneylineRed Sox -133Kalshi-1.6% EV
Totalno lean
Run lineno lean

Starting pitchers

Compare starters →
Red Sox
rating
110
ERA
2.76
FIP
3.47
K-BB%
15.4%
IP
157
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home742.911.067.82.2.223
Away822.621.268.32.6.256
Night1102.381.118.62.3.232
vs LHB102—1.168.62.7.233
vs RHB54—1.207.12.0.254
rating
91
ERA
4.64
FIP
4.20
K-BB%
8.0%
IP
97
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home433.531.387.52.7.276
Away545.531.686.04.0.303
Night663.801.526.53.7.280
vs LHB56—1.726.64.0.310
vs RHB40—1.346.92.7.264

Injuries

Red Sox injuries
Anthony Seigler · 2B · Injured 10-Day
Ceddanne Rafaela · CF · Injured 10-Day
Curtis Mead · 3B · Injured 10-Day
Eduardo Rivera · P · Injured 60-Day
Eli White · CF · Injured 10-Day
Garrett Crochet · P · Injured 60-Day
Johan Oviedo · P · Injured 60-Day
Justin Slaten · P · Injured 15-Day
Kutter Crawford · P · Injured 60-Day
Masataka Yoshida · DH · Injured 10-Day
Tanner Houck · P · Injured 60-Day
Triston Casas · 1B · Injured 60-Day
Tyron Guerrero · P · Injured 15-Day
Zack Kelly · P · Injured 60-Day
Orioles injuries
Blaze Alexander · 3B · Injured 10-Day
Christian Franklin · CF · Injured 10-Day
Colin Selby · P · Injured 60-Day
Félix Bautista · P · Injured 60-Day
Jackson Holliday · 2B · Injured 10-Day
Jordan Westburg · 3B · Injured 60-Day
Keegan Akin · P · Injured 60-Day
Kyle Bradish · P · Injured 15-Day
Luis Robert Jr. · CF · Injured 10-Day
Ryan Helsley · P · Injured 60-Day
Ryan Mountcastle · 1B · Injured 60-Day
Tyler O'Neill · RF · Injured 10-Day
Zach Eflin · P · Injured 60-Day