Drew Rasmussen vs Jacob deGrom
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.
Matchup factors
Weather
97°F
Clear
Wind 10 mph · crosswind
7 PM
10
8 PM
9
9 PM
6
10 PM
5
Rays recordOverall93-59 · .612
Home53-25
Away40-34
Last 108-2
StreakW6
Rangers recordOverall76-77 · .497
Home42-33
Away34-44
Last 106-4
StreakL1
Win probability — Rangers
Market49.8%
Model47.5%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = model_v2 (regressed toward the market on the card).
Model picks
MoneylineRays +100Kalshi+1.7% EV
Totalover 6.5 -117Kalshi · proj 7.82+2.7% EV
Run lineno lean
Starting pitchers
Compare starters →ERA
2.81
FIP
2.85
K-BB%
21.3%
IP
160
| Split | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | BB/9 | OBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 80 | 3.05 | 1.00 | 9.4 | 1.8 | .218 |
| Away | 81 | 2.57 | 0.83 | 8.6 | 1.2 | .190 |
| Night | 80 | 2.81 | 0.93 | 8.3 | 1.2 | .214 |
| vs LHB | 90 | — | 1.02 | 10.0 | 1.8 | .216 |
| vs RHB | 68 | — | 0.80 | 7.9 | 1.2 | .187 |
ERA
3.79
FIP
3.13
K-BB%
24.9%
IP
154
| Split | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | BB/9 | OBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 85 | 2.53 | 0.84 | 11.7 | 1.7 | .183 |
| Away | 69 | 5.35 | 1.35 | 10.8 | 3.0 | .257 |
| Night | 112 | 4.73 | 1.16 | 11.2 | 2.6 | .229 |
| vs LHB | 94 | — | 1.00 | 11.3 | 2.2 | .204 |
| vs RHB | 60 | — | 1.19 | 11.3 | 2.4 | .239 |
Injuries
Rays injuriesBen Williamson · 2B · Injured 10-Day
Edwin Uceta · P · Injured 60-Day
Garrett Cleavinger · P · Injured 15-Day
Gavin Lux · LF · Injured 60-Day
Jonathan Heasley · P · Injured 60-Day
Manuel Rodríguez · P · Injured 15-Day
Ryan Pepiot · P · Injured 60-Day
Shane McClanahan · P · Injured 15-Day
Tyler Wells · P · Injured 15-Day
Rangers injuriesCarter Baumler · P · Injured 60-Day
Cole Winn · P · Injured 15-Day
Jack Leiter · P · Injured 60-Day
Jalen Beeks · P · Injured 60-Day
Jose Corniell · P · Injured 60-Day
Kyle Higashioka · C · Injured 10-Day
Michael Helman · CF · Injured 60-Day
Peyton Gray · P · Injured 15-Day