Angels
Elo 1444 · #28 · 58-94
@
Sat, Sep 5, 5:41 PM CT
Final 6–1
Pirates
Elo 1504 · #15 · 75-77
Yusei Kikuchi vs Braxton Ashcraft
Angels RL
+1.5-130NoVig
Pirates RL
-1.5+127Kalshi
Over / Under
O 7.5-104Kalshi
U 7.5+102NoVig
Angels ML
+170Kalshi
Pirates ML
-170ProphetX
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.

Matchup factors

Weather
78°F
Showers
Wind 4 mph · out to CF (+4)
7 PM
4
8 PM
4
9 PM
1
10 PM
3
Angels record
Overall59-94 · .386
Home33-45
Away26-49
Last 105-5
StreakW1
Pirates record
Overall76-77 · .497
Home39-36
Away37-41
Last 106-4
StreakW1

Win probability — Pirates

Market62.7%
Model65.7%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = model_v2 (regressed toward the market on the card).

Model picks

MoneylinePirates -170ProphetX+1.0% EV
Totalno lean
Run lineno lean

Starting pitchers

Compare starters →
rating
98
ERA
5.03
FIP
4.23
K-BB%
11.5%
IP
57
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home224.031.3010.53.2.250
Away355.661.718.25.1.286
Night384.741.619.95.0.267
vs LHB14—1.6710.74.4.283
vs RHB43—1.528.74.4.268
rating
120
ERA
3.65
FIP
3.48
K-BB%
20.7%
IP
165
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home783.711.1110.11.6.245
Away883.591.078.82.2.227
Night873.921.138.42.0.242
vs LHB89—1.2210.32.5.246
vs RHB76—0.958.51.2.223

Injuries

Angels injuries
Anthony Rendon · 3B · Injured 60-Day
George Klassen · P · Injured 15-Day
Gustavo Campero · OF · Injured 10-Day
Jack Kochanowicz · P · Injured 60-Day
Nolan Schanuel · 1B · Injured 10-Day
Robert Stephenson · P · Injured 60-Day
Samy Natera Jr. · P · Injured 15-Day
Yoán Moncada · 3B · Injured 60-Day
Pirates injuries
Braxton Ashcraft · P · Injured 15-Day
Endy Rodríguez · C · Injured 60-Day
Esmerlyn Valdez · RF · Injured 10-Day
Isaac Mattson · P · Injured 15-Day
Kirby Yates · P · Injured 15-Day
Mitch Keller · P · Injured 60-Day