Yankees
Elo 1566 · #3 · 88-64
@
Sat, Sep 5, 6:16 PM CT
Final 5–1
Padres
Elo 1539 · #8 · 83-69
Carlos Rodón vs Robbie Ray
Yankees RL
-1.5+170Kalshi
Padres RL
+1.5-178Kalshi
Over / Under
O 7.5-106NoVig
U 7.5+104Kalshi
Yankees ML
+117NoVig
Padres ML
-117Kalshi
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.

Matchup factors

Weather
74°F
Partly cloudy
Wind 9 mph · crosswind
7 PM
9
8 PM
8
9 PM
6
10 PM
5
Yankees record
Overall88-64 · .579
Home42-32
Away46-32
Last 107-3
StreakL1
Padres record
Overall84-69 · .549
Home46-29
Away38-40
Last 109-1
StreakW2

Win probability — Padres

Market53.8%
Model46.0%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = model_v2 (regressed toward the market on the card).

Model picks

MoneylineYankees +117NoVig+5.4% EV
Totalno lean
Run lineno lean

Starting pitchers

Compare starters →
rating
106
ERA
2.95
FIP
3.72
K-BB%
14.3%
IP
76
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home312.611.0010.43.2.180
Away453.181.219.35.4.177
Night402.681.1710.34.0.197
vs LHB19—1.1810.64.3.197
vs RHB58—1.119.54.5.172
rating
86
ERA
3.60
FIP
4.80
K-BB%
8.0%
IP
162
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home823.201.357.05.2.214
Away814.021.318.34.0.236
Night973.711.277.94.6.212
vs LHB43—1.418.74.0.258
vs RHB117—1.327.44.9.213

Injuries

Yankees injuries
Fernando Cruz · P · Injured 15-Day
Giancarlo Stanton · DH · Injured 60-Day
Jazz Chisholm Jr. · 2B · Injured 10-Day
Kervin Castro · P · Injured 60-Day
Ryan Weathers · P · Injured 15-Day
Trent Grisham · CF · Injured 10-Day
Padres injuries
Bryan Hoeing · P · Injured 60-Day
Gavin Sheets · 1B · Injured 10-Day
Jason Adam · P · Injured 60-Day
Jeremiah Estrada · P · Injured 15-Day
Joe Musgrove · P · Injured 60-Day
Lucas Giolito · P · Injured 60-Day
Luis Rengifo · LF · Injured 60-Day
Miguel Andujar · DH · Injured 10-Day
Ramón Laureano · LF · Injured 60-Day