Diamondbacks
Elo 1511 · #12 · 80-73
@
Sat, Sep 5, 6:16 PM CT
Final 4–3
Astros
Elo 1497 · #18 · 76-76
Brandon Pfaadt vs Ethan Pecko
Diamondbacks RL
-1.5+163Kalshi
Astros RL
+1.5-170Kalshi
Over / Under
O 8.5-113Kalshi
U 8.5+111NoVig
Diamondbacks ML
+100Kalshi
Astros ML
+100NoVig
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.

Matchup factors

Weather
83°F
Cloudy
Wind 4 mph · crosswind
7 PM
4
8 PM
4
9 PM
4
10 PM
2
Diamondbacks record
Overall80-73 · .523
Home43-35
Away37-38
Last 105-5
StreakL2
Astros record
Overall77-76 · .503
Home39-39
Away38-37
Last 104-6
StreakW1

Win probability — Astros

Market50.1%
Model50.6%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = model_v2 (regressed toward the market on the card).

Model picks

MoneylineAstros +100NoVig+0.5% EV
Totalno lean
Run lineno lean

Starting pitchers

Compare starters →
Diamondbacks
rating
97
ERA
3.77
FIP
4.02
K-BB%
10.7%
IP
124
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home674.141.144.72.3.239
Away573.341.207.81.9.251
Night822.951.035.81.4.232
vs LHB67—1.255.62.3.261
vs RHB57—1.076.61.9.226
rating
82
ERA
4.30
FIP
6.29
K-BB%
3.1%
IP
23
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home83.381.506.84.5.250
Away154.801.135.44.8.180
Night184.501.335.55.0.215
vs LHB13—1.504.06.8.204
vs RHB9—0.968.71.9.212

Injuries

Diamondbacks injuries
A.J. Puk · P · Injured 60-Day
Andrew Saalfrank · P · Injured 60-Day
Cristian Mena · P · Injured 60-Day
Ryan Thompson · P · Injured 60-Day
Tyler Locklear · 1B · Injured 60-Day
Astros injuries
Brandon Walter · P · Injured 60-Day
Brice Matthews · CF · Injured 60-Day
Carlos Correa · SS · Injured 60-Day
Mike Burrows · P · Injured 60-Day
Steven Okert · P · Injured 15-Day