Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.
Win probability — Syracuse
Market61.9%
Model62.9%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = Elo (home field + power ratings, blended toward the market).
Model picks
SpreadOrange -3.5 -105ProphetX-1.6% EV
MoneylineOrange -163Kalshi