Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.
Win probability — Army
Market59.8%
Model54.1%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = Elo (home field + power ratings, blended toward the market).
Model picks
SpreadBulls +3.5 -110ProphetX+4.8% EV
MoneylineKnights -150Kalshi