Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.
Win probability — UAB
Market75.3%
Model74.8%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = Elo (home field + power ratings, blended toward the market).
Model picks
SpreadWarhawks +9.5 +100Kalshi+6.4% EV
MoneylineBlazers -317Kalshi