Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.
Win probability — Utah
Market80.6%
Model85.0%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = Elo (home field + power ratings, blended toward the market).
Model picks
SpreadUtes -13.5 +104Kalshi+2.8% EV
MoneylineUtes -456Kalshi