Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.
Win probability — Ohio
Market54.4%
Model55.3%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = Elo (home field + power ratings, blended toward the market).
Model picks
SpreadGamecocks +2 +101ProphetX+1.3% EV
MoneylineBobcats -121ProphetX