Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.
Win probability — Oklahoma State
Market7.6%
Model6.3%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = Elo (home field + power ratings, blended toward the market).
Model picks
SpreadCowboys +23.5 -101ProphetX+12.7% EV
MoneylineDucks -1600ProphetX